{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9b34fad0-b559-4264-a1f4-6ebf10d9ddd4", "symbol": "300007", "name": "Hanwei Electronics Group Corporation", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.865, "architecture_energy": 67.166, "architecture_maturity": 57.211, "architecture_confidence": 83.993, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.21, "rotation_up": 11.6, "upward_expansion": 14.05, "deceleration": 39.83, "rotation_down": 69.8, "downward_expansion": 87.39 }, "activity_lines": [ 33.362, 35.287622, 38.631103, 40.954158 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 35.259998, "trend_reference": 44.925406, "distance_from_trend": -0.215143, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 30.831422, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.143638, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -29.411538, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.362618, "excess_performance": -0.370017, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.215143, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.090765, "read": "Falling" 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29.450001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": 0.020252, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": 0.019787, "regime_survival": 0.772727, "best_return": 0.287867, "worst_return": -0.213198, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.04713, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.041426, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.276276, "worst_return": -0.186199, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.096381, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.137, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.247255, "worst_return": -0.139039, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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39.204667, 40.743063, 42.331335, 44.504005 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 32.709999, "volume": 57017771, "typical_volume": 54587956.7, "trend": 46.644073, "fair_value": 30.553174, "relative_strength": -33.325035, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.188634, "energy": 55.719402, "activity_lines": [ 37.074, 38.958566, 41.281086, 43.568602 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 29.6, "volume": 50761821, "typical_volume": 54137933.7, "trend": 46.103073, "fair_value": 30.620768, "relative_strength": -39.380645, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.69631, "energy": 59.254218, "activity_lines": [ 34.34, 36.872869, 40.028505, 42.468985 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 32.900002, "volume": 69065923, "typical_volume": 54969939.5, "trend": 45.53674, "fair_value": 30.713071, "relative_strength": -31.146708, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.676356, "energy": 69.533232, "activity_lines": [ 33.394667, 35.70343, 39.182351, 41.617174 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 35.259998, "volume": 63337657, "typical_volume": 56173670.65, "trend": 44.925406, "fair_value": 30.831422, "relative_strength": -29.411538, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.864966, "energy": 67.165577, "activity_lines": [ 33.362, 35.287622, 38.631103, 40.954158 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }