{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9b36b416-5016-4c87-9b60-b3a76cf1a1de", "symbol": "UXJA", "name": "FT VEST U.S. EQUITY UNCAPPED ACCELERATOR ETF - JANUARY", "exchange": "CBOE", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 82.531, "architecture_energy": 56.757, "architecture_maturity": 28.554, "architecture_confidence": 80.893, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.61, "rotation_up": 55.52, "upward_expansion": 81.48, "deceleration": 62.2, "rotation_down": 26.38, "downward_expansion": 8.15 }, "activity_lines": [ 38.338947, 38.089275, 37.723826, 36.938178 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 39.4284, "trend_reference": 36.059657, "distance_from_trend": 0.093421, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 33.002606, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.194706, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.40609, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.128383, "excess_performance": 0.002758, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.093421, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.034851, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.194706, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.025762, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.004061, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.000902, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.128383, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.25053, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5072, "relative_activity": 0.299083, "balance": 4.25053, "dry_up": 0.391898, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.023777, "annualized_volatility": 0.153279, "from_high_reference": -0.004585, "from_low_reference": 0.241464 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 36.059657, "fair_value_reference": 33.002606, "structural_low": 31.7764, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": 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"direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 37.4099, "volume": 8123, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 37.9368, "volume": 5562, "typical_volume": 16914.25, "trend": 35.917557, "fair_value": 32.922284, "relative_strength": 0.015082, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.988489, "energy": 44.119857, "activity_lines": [ 37.822367, 37.800433, 37.453493, 36.711672 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 39.4284, "volume": 5072, "typical_volume": 16958.5, "trend": 36.059657, "fair_value": 33.002606, "relative_strength": 0.40609, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.531051, "energy": 56.757122, "activity_lines": [ 38.338947, 38.089275, 37.723826, 36.938178 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }