{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9b4b40f5-fa14-4b3d-a35e-3749a1f230d6", "symbol": "300477", "name": "Hezong Science&Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 77.66, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -20.503, "architecture_energy": 14.64, "architecture_maturity": 45.5, "architecture_confidence": 57.998, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.51, "rotation_up": 34.68, "upward_expansion": 21.33, "deceleration": 39.81, "rotation_down": 24.65, "downward_expansion": 55.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.564, 2.479636, 2.520905, 2.575849 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 2.65, "trend_reference": 2.677667, "distance_from_trend": -0.010332, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.91, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.089347, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -1.519734, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.076655, "excess_performance": -0.084055, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.010332, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.068422, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.089347, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.002866, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.015197, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.063895, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.076655, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.142611, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 151166417, "relative_activity": 0.98794, "balance": 1.142611, "dry_up": 0.960335, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.118723, "annualized_volatility": 0.664382, "from_high_reference": -0.417582, "from_low_reference": 0.387435 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.677667, "fair_value_reference": 2.91, "structural_low": 2.06, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 36, "median_return": 0.014469, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": 0.007369, "regime_survival": 0.861111, "best_return": 0.238298, "worst_return": -0.236948, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.013672, "positive_rate": 0.538462, "directional_follow_through": 0.461538, "median_excess_return": 0.004355, "regime_survival": 0.615385, "best_return": 0.582524, "worst_return": -0.491765, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.055901, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.03346, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.339806, "worst_return": -0.237647, "sufficient": true }, { 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2.64443 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 2.34, "volume": 82338999, "typical_volume": 162495723.7, "trend": 2.730333, "fair_value": 2.964038, "relative_strength": -17.944798, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.542107, "energy": 53.458319, "activity_lines": [ 2.352, 2.447455, 2.532714, 2.617355 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.35, "volume": 90006057, "typical_volume": 155669662.8, "trend": 2.707333, "fair_value": 2.949167, "relative_strength": -9.18074, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.28966, "energy": 36.989624, "activity_lines": [ 2.353333, 2.408364, 2.508143, 2.592817 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.47, "volume": 98383878, "typical_volume": 150340883.3, "trend": 2.689, "fair_value": 2.935321, "relative_strength": -4.716853, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.575476, "energy": 27.079593, "activity_lines": [ 2.398, 2.399273, 2.498238, 2.577505 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.69, "volume": 248214207, "typical_volume": 153130510.4, "trend": 2.676667, "fair_value": 2.922628, "relative_strength": 5.263492, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -25.391251, "energy": 13.461414, "activity_lines": [ 2.505333, 2.441818, 2.511048, 2.57757 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.65, "volume": 151166417, "typical_volume": 153011783.85, "trend": 2.677667, "fair_value": 2.91, "relative_strength": -1.519734, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -20.503487, "energy": 14.639939, "activity_lines": [ 2.564, 2.479636, 2.520905, 2.575849 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }