{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9b4d51df-d35e-4c87-ba4c-af2577979297", "symbol": "002758", "name": "ZJAMP Group Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -50.07, "architecture_energy": 46.12, "architecture_maturity": 91.193, "architecture_confidence": 66.603, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.56, "rotation_up": 27.5, "upward_expansion": 19.96, "deceleration": 66.95, "rotation_down": 42.78, "downward_expansion": 69.96 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.781333, 7.765365, 8.08956, 8.561205 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 7.78, "trend_reference": 9.178975, "distance_from_trend": -0.152411, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 9.083437, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.143496, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -19.514146, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.287546, "excess_performance": -0.294946, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.152411, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.071048, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.143496, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.107189, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.195141, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.040629, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.287546, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.240969, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 26445119, "relative_activity": 0.942844, "balance": 0.240969, "dry_up": 0.909426, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.058991, "annualized_volatility": 0.281009, "from_high_reference": -0.301616, "from_low_reference": 0.059698 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.178975, "fair_value_reference": 9.083437, "structural_low": 7.341712, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": -0.008827, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.009001, "regime_survival": 0.84, "best_return": 0.323988, "worst_return": -0.114859, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.04037, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": 0.010944, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.429812, "worst_return": -0.185142, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.038958, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.002164, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.259534, "worst_return": -0.148114, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 4, 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"relative_strength": -28.043995, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.375428, "energy": 85.504074, "activity_lines": [ 7.696386, 7.878402, 8.489594, 8.966037 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 7.9, "volume": 23402006, "typical_volume": 33409696.5, "trend": 9.412642, "fair_value": 9.160979, "relative_strength": -16.681767, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.513644, "energy": 62.248741, "activity_lines": [ 7.755647, 7.838961, 8.376931, 8.864469 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.61, "volume": 30702597, "typical_volume": 31866854.95, "trend": 9.332642, "fair_value": 9.134067, "relative_strength": -19.451989, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.065339, "energy": 62.181908, "activity_lines": [ 7.71229, 7.767519, 8.250696, 8.748169 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.91, "volume": 21481582, "typical_volume": 29380254.0, "trend": 9.255309, "fair_value": 9.110398, "relative_strength": -14.465363, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.412389, "energy": 56.143621, "activity_lines": [ 7.768916, 7.772442, 8.169223, 8.656386 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.78, "volume": 26445119, "typical_volume": 28048256.2, "trend": 9.178975, "fair_value": 9.083437, "relative_strength": -19.514146, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.070463, "energy": 46.120355, "activity_lines": [ 7.781333, 7.765365, 8.08956, 8.561205 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }