{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9b5b0522-1e8a-4132-9ac5-4cdcf9795ab9", "symbol": "3611", "name": "TSC Auto ID Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 50.975, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 60.743, "architecture_energy": 32.004, "architecture_maturity": 23.206, "architecture_confidence": 56.27, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.25, "rotation_up": 48.35, "upward_expansion": 71.87, "deceleration": 61.6, "rotation_down": 21.45, "downward_expansion": 7.53 }, "activity_lines": [ 186.666667, 186.644627, 184.447958, 183.212622 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 189.0, "trend_reference": 182.623374, "distance_from_trend": 0.034917, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 188.717761, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.001496, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -27.383562, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.041024, "excess_performance": -0.400348, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.034917, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.014259, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.001496, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.058832, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.273836, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.068942, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.041024, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.710512, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 196848, "relative_activity": 0.842336, "balance": 1.710512, "dry_up": 0.803512, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.032867, "annualized_volatility": 0.130081, "from_high_reference": -0.081308, "from_low_reference": 0.080521 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 182.623374, "fair_value_reference": 188.717761, "structural_low": 174.915575, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.026108, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.011136, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": -0.017903, "worst_return": -0.096774, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.07463, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.082395, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.025575, "worst_return": -0.119816, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.007255, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.095961, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.117647, "worst_return": -0.121076, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"relative_strength": -27.890573, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 31.028445, "energy": 43.766465, "activity_lines": [ 186.703028, 184.939077, 182.443566, 182.281843 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 187.0, "volume": 176404, "typical_volume": 237381.55, "trend": 183.187226, "fair_value": 189.289881, "relative_strength": -27.019402, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 31.856759, "energy": 42.299617, "activity_lines": [ 186.93896, 185.636598, 183.014345, 182.51406 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 183.5, "volume": 246240, "typical_volume": 235930.4, "trend": 182.825538, "fair_value": 189.08521, "relative_strength": -26.71604, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 24.204107, "energy": 18.33307, "activity_lines": [ 185.739826, 185.538369, 183.230363, 182.534239 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 187.0, "volume": 131609, "typical_volume": 231627.05, "trend": 182.659521, "fair_value": 188.851097, "relative_strength": -26.402439, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.585846, "energy": 20.450284, "activity_lines": [ 185.703896, 185.972136, 183.765923, 182.803559 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 189.0, "volume": 196848, "typical_volume": 233693.1, "trend": 182.623374, "fair_value": 188.717761, "relative_strength": -27.383562, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.742604, "energy": 32.004345, "activity_lines": [ 186.666667, 186.644627, 184.447958, 183.212622 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }