{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9b62ca8c-483e-4d2f-a90c-d8c276cdd17b", "symbol": "REG", "name": "Regency Centers Corporation", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 29.048, "architecture_energy": 21.389, "architecture_maturity": 35.413, "architecture_confidence": 39.135, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.33, "rotation_up": 38.7, "upward_expansion": 63.23, "deceleration": 63.04, "rotation_down": 24.27, "downward_expansion": 15.57 }, "activity_lines": [ 79.879333, 80.140471, 79.287006, 78.469816 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 77.12, "trend_reference": 77.030005, "distance_from_trend": 0.001168, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 65.919799, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.169906, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -8.030772, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.044962, "excess_performance": -0.142492, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.001168, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.056083, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.169906, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.033804, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.080308, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.016373, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.044962, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.662615, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 9074778, "relative_activity": 1.28936, "balance": 0.662615, "dry_up": 1.0446, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.043236, "annualized_volatility": 0.192866, "from_high_reference": -0.078174, "from_low_reference": 0.184375 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 77.030005, "fair_value_reference": 65.919799, "structural_low": 73.221383, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": 0.012881, "positive_rate": 0.642857, "directional_follow_through": 0.642857, "median_excess_return": -0.002708, "regime_survival": 0.678571, "best_return": 0.092717, "worst_return": -0.078233, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.008131, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": -0.094202, "regime_survival": 0.363636, "best_return": 0.100376, "worst_return": -0.107278, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.054011, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.002708, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.185548, "worst_return": -0.196379, 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.243598, "energy": 46.131345, "activity_lines": [ 80.094, 79.137144, 78.326456, 77.303069 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 82.68, "volume": 6093605, "typical_volume": 6940795.75, "trend": 75.822095, "fair_value": 65.49863, "relative_strength": 2.167221, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.847352, "energy": 65.693612, "activity_lines": [ 81.017333, 79.924433, 78.804068, 77.778682 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 82.15, "volume": 6815362, "typical_volume": 6962622.55, "trend": 76.285807, "fair_value": 65.65632, "relative_strength": 3.178929, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.063155, "energy": 58.728324, "activity_lines": [ 81.604, 80.509669, 79.206586, 78.186933 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 80.29, "volume": 7424679, "typical_volume": 7042009.5, "trend": 76.73952, "fair_value": 65.794297, "relative_strength": 0.391848, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.220863, "energy": 40.990503, "activity_lines": [ 81.219333, 80.633111, 79.40828, 78.445268 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 77.12, "volume": 9074778, "typical_volume": 7038201.7, "trend": 77.030005, "fair_value": 65.919799, "relative_strength": -8.030772, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.04838, "energy": 21.388874, "activity_lines": [ 79.879333, 80.140471, 79.287006, 78.469816 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }