{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9b746f38-cf0f-4457-a6eb-75b3c694eab5", "symbol": "8435", "name": "Zimmite Taiwan Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 85.755, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 14.811, "architecture_energy": 6.492, "architecture_maturity": 32.64, "architecture_confidence": 54.596, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 62.38, "rotation_up": 35.49, "upward_expansion": 47.93, "deceleration": 52.87, "rotation_down": 24.77, "downward_expansion": 30.59 }, "activity_lines": [ 53.186666, 53.143636, 53.155191, 53.220354 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 53.099998, "trend_reference": 53.095493, "distance_from_trend": 8.5e-05, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 58.024838, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.084875, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -28.502992, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.023094, "excess_performance": -0.418278, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 8.5e-05, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.01967, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.084875, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.004032, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.28503, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.079649, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.023094, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.194547, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 107439, "relative_activity": 0.696946, "balance": 1.194547, "dry_up": 0.726654, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.030244, "annualized_volatility": 0.172592, "from_high_reference": -0.080553, "from_low_reference": 0.125403 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 53.095493, "fair_value_reference": 58.024838, "structural_low": 50.957746, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.001663, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.008122, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.032172, "worst_return": -0.022989, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.011493, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.043431, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.046575, "worst_return": -0.039474, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.013158, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.006677, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.023094, "worst_return": -0.049019, 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-28.520641, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 9.427311, "energy": 8.502006, "activity_lines": [ 53.02, 53.161178, 53.20326, 53.14176 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 52.799999, "volume": 61222, "typical_volume": 159056.2, "trend": 52.795399, "fair_value": 57.979958, "relative_strength": -28.725812, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 11.062203, "energy": 9.269135, "activity_lines": [ 52.899999, 53.102048, 53.151476, 53.147033 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 52.700001, "volume": 89054, "typical_volume": 153398.0, "trend": 52.875493, "fair_value": 57.991465, "relative_strength": -26.800681, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -19.921038, "energy": 16.941162, "activity_lines": [ 52.826666, 53.023841, 53.096224, 53.140879 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 54.0, "volume": 190360, "typical_volume": 152950.6, "trend": 52.992629, "fair_value": 58.011306, "relative_strength": -25.675579, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.251351, "energy": 14.501267, "activity_lines": [ 53.186667, 53.176056, 53.166821, 53.213427 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 53.099998, "volume": 107439, "typical_volume": 154156.95, "trend": 53.095493, "fair_value": 58.024838, "relative_strength": -28.502992, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 14.810549, "energy": 6.491563, "activity_lines": [ 53.186666, 53.143636, 53.155191, 53.220354 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }