{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9b78c80e-c0d4-47e3-9c6b-d6a2402d619b", "symbol": "300480", "name": "GL Tech Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -12.107, "architecture_energy": 24.645, "architecture_maturity": 59.008, "architecture_confidence": 54.184, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 50.45, "rotation_up": 19.81, "upward_expansion": 19.68, "deceleration": 66.78, "rotation_down": 58.73, "downward_expansion": 40.02 }, "activity_lines": [ 31.092, 33.448546, 34.577952, 33.698473 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 35.049999, "trend_reference": 31.481, "distance_from_trend": 0.11337, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 19.243343, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.821409, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 36.769576, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.546096, "excess_performance": 0.538696, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.11337, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.239214, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.821409, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.236726, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.367696, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.178879, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.546096, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.969143, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 155373230, "relative_activity": 1.523788, "balance": 0.969143, "dry_up": 1.412578, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.179765, "annualized_volatility": 0.955932, "from_high_reference": -0.192024, "from_low_reference": 1.32273 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 31.481, "fair_value_reference": 19.243343, "structural_low": 21.4, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.010887, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.008693, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.141809, "worst_return": -0.287062, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.090365, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.045236, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.276273, "worst_return": -0.209396, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.009026, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.131206, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.819815, "worst_return": 0.00583, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"direction": 11.586959, "energy": 11.930189, "activity_lines": [ 35.174001, 35.933273, 35.532476, 33.609677 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 31.66, "volume": 143900691, "typical_volume": 95749406.05, "trend": 30.556667, "fair_value": 19.138872, "relative_strength": 30.475514, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 8.146826, "energy": 10.872021, "activity_lines": [ 33.508001, 35.075818, 35.272143, 33.715011 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 26.120001, "volume": 167252659, "typical_volume": 98764310.15, "trend": 30.869667, "fair_value": 19.162991, "relative_strength": 8.583422, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -31.755391, "energy": 33.617478, "activity_lines": [ 30.358001, 33.342728, 34.489191, 33.428774 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 35.049999, "volume": 155373230, "typical_volume": 101965135.4, "trend": 31.481, "fair_value": 19.243343, "relative_strength": 36.769576, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -12.106762, "energy": 24.644677, "activity_lines": [ 31.092, 33.448546, 34.577952, 33.698473 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }