{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9bb1d8ed-479c-4bba-ab29-2b1397b2fd20", "symbol": "7776", "name": "Anya", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 69.563, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": 4.238, "architecture_energy": 16.903, "architecture_maturity": 10.509, "architecture_confidence": 56.789, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 53.6, "rotation_up": 40.22, "upward_expansion": 39.45, "deceleration": 27.03, "rotation_down": 17.19, "downward_expansion": 43.12 }, "activity_lines": [ 31.216667, 30.325455, 28.922619, 29.541613 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 32.5, "trend_reference": 31.511667, "distance_from_trend": 0.031364, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 38.251613, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.150363, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -43.448841, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.171975, "excess_performance": -0.613347, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.031364, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.146295, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.150363, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.192203, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.434488, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.137359, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.171975, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.111805, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 190362, "relative_activity": 0.553766, "balance": 1.111805, "dry_up": 0.773506, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.132899, "annualized_volatility": 0.48971, "from_high_reference": -0.53966, "from_low_reference": 0.511628 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 31.511667, "fair_value_reference": 38.251613, "structural_low": 21.5, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-05-15", "end": "2026-07-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.209924, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-07-24", "end": "2026-08-14", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.083333, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-10-25", "close": 58.0, "volume": 4206152, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-11-01", "close": 51.5, "volume": 3770746, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, 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-45.85171, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -6.664527, "energy": 18.130954, "activity_lines": [ 30.436667, 29.023637, 28.341429, 29.603011 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 30.9, "volume": 206911, "typical_volume": 342657.05, "trend": 31.895, "fair_value": 38.31413, "relative_strength": -45.092764, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -3.848632, "energy": 14.653564, "activity_lines": [ 30.686667, 29.573637, 28.546191, 29.502581 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 32.5, "volume": 190362, "typical_volume": 343759.05, "trend": 31.511667, "fair_value": 38.251613, "relative_strength": -43.448841, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 4.237572, "energy": 16.903009, "activity_lines": [ 31.216667, 30.325455, 28.922619, 29.541613 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }