{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9bb5049f-820c-4adc-b4c7-5e2c05db5920", "symbol": "ALAMA", "name": "AMA Corporation Plc", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 22.93, "architecture_energy": 23.284, "architecture_maturity": 92.379, "architecture_confidence": 51.417, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.18, "rotation_up": 53.76, "upward_expansion": 43.49, "deceleration": 27.5, "rotation_down": 18.7, "downward_expansion": 16.16 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.139067, 0.135136, 0.128764, 0.129405 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.145, "trend_reference": 0.13245, "distance_from_trend": 0.094753, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.188939, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.232557, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -19.651799, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.0301, "excess_performance": -0.083412, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.094753, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.096213, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.232557, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.114671, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.196518, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.15951, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.0301, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.027714, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 82199, "relative_activity": 2.178698, "balance": 1.027714, "dry_up": 0.812787, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.141114, "annualized_volatility": 0.615893, "from_high_reference": -0.538217, "from_low_reference": 0.479592 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.13245, "fair_value_reference": 0.188939, "structural_low": 0.098, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": -0.035344, "positive_rate": 0.269231, "directional_follow_through": 0.653846, "median_excess_return": -0.040106, "regime_survival": 0.846154, "best_return": 1.12766, "worst_return": -0.373333, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.172113, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.127392, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 1.504673, "worst_return": -0.536797, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.233725, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.290119, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.160173, "worst_return": -0.361111, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"2026-07-24", "close": 0.14, "volume": 6470, "typical_volume": 51146.05, "trend": 0.1343, "fair_value": 0.189869, "relative_strength": -21.345837, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 20.960301, "energy": 25.43441, "activity_lines": [ 0.136633, 0.129355, 0.126312, 0.128594 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.135, "volume": 26478, "typical_volume": 42704.4, "trend": 0.133117, "fair_value": 0.189452, "relative_strength": -24.342728, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 13.966043, "energy": 21.419946, "activity_lines": [ 0.136567, 0.131518, 0.12705, 0.128639 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.145, "volume": 82199, "typical_volume": 37728.5, "trend": 0.13245, "fair_value": 0.188939, "relative_strength": -19.651799, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 22.930165, "energy": 23.283709, "activity_lines": [ 0.139067, 0.135136, 0.128764, 0.129405 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }