{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9bc2cfbd-e875-43f0-89ff-283cf6b1820d", "symbol": "1538", "name": "Jenn Feng Industrial Tools Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -85.394, "architecture_energy": 73.569, "architecture_maturity": 88.207, "architecture_confidence": 94.693, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.57, "rotation_up": 28.85, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 49.66, "rotation_down": 61.26, "downward_expansion": 85.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.843333, 10.187273, 10.93, 12.220968 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 9.2, "trend_reference": 15.008333, "distance_from_trend": -0.387007, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 26.500856, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.652841, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -69.233558, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.648184, "excess_performance": -1.089556, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.387007, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.259396, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.652841, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.104737, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.692336, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.02758, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.648184, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.729649, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2204, "relative_activity": 0.040274, "balance": 0.729649, "dry_up": 0.309296, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.079264, "annualized_volatility": 0.527359, "from_high_reference": -0.687075, "from_low_reference": 0.0 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 15.008333, "fair_value_reference": 26.500856, "structural_low": 9.2, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": -0.022989, "positive_rate": 0.434783, "directional_follow_through": 0.521739, "median_excess_return": -0.00758, "regime_survival": 0.73913, "best_return": 0.323283, "worst_return": -0.289326, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.029099, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.110043, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.376884, "worst_return": -0.325843, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.058586, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.07901, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.579565, "worst_return": -0.51145, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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73604.7, "trend": 16.116667, "fair_value": 26.662466, "relative_strength": -65.652601, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.779793, "energy": 67.285255, "activity_lines": [ 10.196667, 10.632727, 11.35119, 13.014194 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.2, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 65931.9, "trend": 15.578333, "fair_value": 26.584866, "relative_strength": -65.618798, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.466422, "energy": 66.715354, "activity_lines": [ 10.153333, 10.486364, 11.172381, 12.632473 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 9.2, "volume": 2204, "typical_volume": 54725.0, "trend": 15.008333, "fair_value": 26.500856, "relative_strength": -69.233558, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -85.393962, "energy": 73.568938, "activity_lines": [ 9.843333, 10.187273, 10.93, 12.220968 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }