{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9bc395b2-abbd-4690-b80c-5bc288e25860", "symbol": "K1TC34", "name": "KT Corporation", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -50.449, "architecture_energy": 48.124, "architecture_maturity": 78.12, "architecture_confidence": 66.985, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.55, "rotation_up": 27.69, "upward_expansion": 20.65, "deceleration": 66.85, "rotation_down": 43.25, "downward_expansion": 70.65 }, "activity_lines": [ 92.491869, 92.296297, 94.425065, 98.593311 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 94.050003, "trend_reference": 103.238034, "distance_from_trend": -0.088999, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 84.059471, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.118851, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.583849, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.137816, "excess_performance": -0.080768, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.088999, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.021172, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.118851, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.167281, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.115838, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.032839, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.137816, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.133333, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 23, "relative_activity": 0.588988, "balance": 0.133333, "dry_up": 0.78105, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.035965, "annualized_volatility": 0.262132, "from_high_reference": -0.246461, "from_low_reference": 0.074052 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 103.238034, "fair_value_reference": 84.059471, "structural_low": 87.565567, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.007988, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.045515, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.148553, "worst_return": -0.046856, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.134008, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.150633, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.21083, "worst_return": -0.055332, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.021774, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.023431, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.128799, "worst_return": -0.085251, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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-71.057835, "energy": 64.975638, "activity_lines": [ 92.557119, 93.144262, 99.116013, 102.523944 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 91.700882, "volume": 60, "typical_volume": 123.3, "trend": 104.628074, "fair_value": 83.000033, "relative_strength": -18.404329, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.604206, "energy": 65.128996, "activity_lines": [ 92.303812, 92.528432, 97.866572, 101.672935 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 89.767097, "volume": 70, "typical_volume": 121.7, "trend": 104.226601, "fair_value": 83.257428, "relative_strength": -17.694606, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.831925, "energy": 67.293583, "activity_lines": [ 91.187184, 91.794053, 96.586919, 100.714163 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 92.484314, "volume": 13, "typical_volume": 78.95, "trend": 103.848696, "fair_value": 83.53224, "relative_strength": -14.860569, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.318481, "energy": 61.775196, "activity_lines": [ 91.429823, 91.804975, 95.717484, 99.956596 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 92.110001, "volume": 16, "typical_volume": 78.85, "trend": 103.442218, "fair_value": 83.796411, "relative_strength": -16.526179, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.663891, "energy": 60.424127, "activity_lines": [ 91.660736, 91.865138, 94.927712, 99.199261 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 94.050003, "volume": 23, "typical_volume": 39.05, "trend": 103.238034, "fair_value": 84.059471, "relative_strength": -11.583849, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.449342, "energy": 48.123704, "activity_lines": [ 92.491869, 92.296297, 94.425065, 98.593311 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }