{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9bcc773b-55ac-4a91-9274-677ac26928d5", "symbol": "TELO", "name": "Telomir Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Common Stock", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 94.536, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -57.064, "architecture_energy": 51.67, "architecture_maturity": 12.369, "architecture_confidence": 86.752, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.62, "rotation_up": 12.51, "upward_expansion": 10.37, "deceleration": 39.04, "rotation_down": 64.11, "downward_expansion": 86.04 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.169333, 1.202545, 1.243714, 1.254903 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 1.16, "trend_reference": 1.260333, "distance_from_trend": -0.079609, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.313779, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.649946, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -23.823224, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.008696, "excess_performance": -0.178758, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.079609, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.035951, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.649946, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.016936, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.238232, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.039078, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.008696, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.958428, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 242454, "relative_activity": 0.38518, "balance": 1.958428, "dry_up": 0.826663, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.130322, "annualized_volatility": 0.489784, "from_high_reference": -0.445242, "from_low_reference": 0.305645 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.260333, "fair_value_reference": 3.313779, "structural_low": 0.88845, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.015748, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.003394, "regime_survival": 0.888889, "best_return": 0.213235, "worst_return": -0.206061, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.09396, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.14977, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.155963, "worst_return": -0.192593, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.268456, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.313571, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.268456, "worst_return": -0.268456, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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1.23, "volume": 241479, "typical_volume": 609571.75, "trend": 1.291667, "fair_value": 3.381693, "relative_strength": -24.489192, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -21.599008, "energy": 9.050179, "activity_lines": [ 1.27, 1.274364, 1.292905, 1.285978 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.11, "volume": 471593, "typical_volume": 607769.0, "trend": 1.281667, "fair_value": 3.363945, "relative_strength": -27.354703, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.65521, "energy": 49.344855, "activity_lines": [ 1.212, 1.243818, 1.275143, 1.274258 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.15, "volume": 968205, "typical_volume": 637289.55, "trend": 1.271333, "fair_value": 3.346783, "relative_strength": -22.014265, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.579493, "energy": 54.269709, "activity_lines": [ 1.177333, 1.224, 1.261952, 1.265763 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.21, "volume": 399140, "typical_volume": 636616.65, "trend": 1.267, "fair_value": 3.330346, "relative_strength": -17.338722, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.062006, "energy": 51.278899, "activity_lines": [ 1.180667, 1.217091, 1.254952, 1.261806 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.16, "volume": 242454, "typical_volume": 629455.8, "trend": 1.260333, "fair_value": 3.313779, "relative_strength": -23.823224, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.06449, "energy": 51.670454, "activity_lines": [ 1.169333, 1.202545, 1.243714, 1.254903 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }