{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "9bd542af-622a-47c2-bc85-cc05a3fb93e1",
    "symbol": "XMVU",
    "name": "Xtrackers MSCI USA Minimum Volatility UCITS ETF 1D",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 61.062,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 90.639,
    "architecture_energy": 83.321,
    "architecture_maturity": 26.353,
    "architecture_confidence": 68.471,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 6.62,
        "rotation_up": 79.52,
        "upward_expansion": 93.01,
        "deceleration": 43.26,
        "rotation_down": 11.6,
        "downward_expansion": 17.35
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      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 63.740002,
    "trend_reference": 60.450384,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.054418,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 55.283844,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.152959,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -1.982446,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.057301,
    "excess_performance": 0.006066,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.054418,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.012273,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.152959,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.047141,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.019824,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.032959,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.057301,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.79401,
        "read": "Demand-led"
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    ],
    "volume": {
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      "relative_activity": 7.522678,
      "balance": 1.79401,
      "dry_up": 3.589775,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
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    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.014102,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.089379,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 0.101434
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 55.283844,
      "structural_low": 57.869999,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 41,
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        "positive_rate": 0.585366,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.585366,
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        "worst_return": -0.087477,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "relative_strength": -7.508845,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "energy": 11.982685,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "fair_value": 53.812538,
        "relative_strength": -6.073598,
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        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "trend": 59.534473,
        "fair_value": 53.9103,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 1104.3,
        "trend": 59.633013,
        "fair_value": 54.125268,
        "relative_strength": -4.527722,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 48.202882,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 1465,
        "typical_volume": 1170.2,
        "trend": 59.717476,
        "fair_value": 54.235545,
        "relative_strength": -4.000964,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 61.653054,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 0,
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        "fair_value": 54.344701,
        "relative_strength": -3.474221,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 67.620227,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 60.785,
        "volume": 3969,
        "typical_volume": 1169.85,
        "trend": 59.860501,
        "fair_value": 54.445588,
        "relative_strength": -4.454325,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.12887,
        "energy": 68.091818,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "fair_value": 54.644879,
        "relative_strength": -4.276712,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.420569,
        "energy": 33.122363,
        "activity_lines": [
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          60.076252
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 62.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 888.1,
        "trend": 60.009422,
        "fair_value": 54.755711,
        "relative_strength": -3.672398,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.788402,
        "energy": 49.112738,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 61.814999,
        "volume": 2767,
        "typical_volume": 595.1,
        "trend": 60.089236,
        "fair_value": 54.862338,
        "relative_strength": -2.106861,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.98084,
        "energy": 60.932071,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 61.66,
        "volume": 5075,
        "typical_volume": 828.8,
        "trend": 60.160071,
        "fair_value": 54.961994,
        "relative_strength": -3.095023,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.040057,
        "energy": 74.304223,
        "activity_lines": [
          61.532,
          61.211637,
          60.648239,
          60.427827
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 61.549999,
        "volume": 380,
        "typical_volume": 847.45,
        "trend": 60.220446,
        "fair_value": 55.06227,
        "relative_strength": -4.269129,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.317177,
        "energy": 74.574042,
        "activity_lines": [
          61.641666,
          61.310273,
          60.774024,
          60.5175
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 61.884998,
        "volume": 8412,
        "typical_volume": 1267.9,
        "trend": 60.313695,
        "fair_value": 55.167281,
        "relative_strength": -4.710988,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.025334,
        "energy": 70.352318,
        "activity_lines": [
          61.748999,
          61.443,
          60.928,
          60.62489
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 63.740002,
        "volume": 15259,
        "typical_volume": 2028.4,
        "trend": 60.450384,
        "fair_value": 55.283844,
        "relative_strength": -1.982446,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 90.638998,
        "energy": 83.32134,
        "activity_lines": [
          62.401667,
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          61.249834,
          60.845942
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}