{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "9bdcea48-7d51-4dee-a853-428e8f85334f",
    "symbol": "COG",
    "name": "Cambridge Cognition Holdings Plc",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 75.789,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -53.106,
    "architecture_energy": 36.42,
    "architecture_maturity": 10.907,
    "architecture_confidence": 93.236,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 36.78,
        "rotation_up": 19.53,
        "upward_expansion": 5.15,
        "deceleration": 47.6,
        "rotation_down": 48.38,
        "downward_expansion": 76.15
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.326667,
        0.330091,
        0.340286,
        0.350462
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Stable",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 0.33,
    "trend_reference": 0.358,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.078212,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.423647,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.22105,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -11.268401,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.153846,
    "excess_performance": -0.205081,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.078212,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.030216,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.22105,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.046398,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.112684,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.076032,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.153846,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.781413,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 103935,
      "relative_activity": 0.830025,
      "balance": 0.781413,
      "dry_up": 0.451968,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.092795,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.292513,
      "from_high_reference": -0.266667,
      "from_low_reference": 0.375
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.358,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.423647,
      "structural_low": 0.3,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 37,
        "median_return": -0.010714,
        "positive_rate": 0.378378,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.594595,
        "median_excess_return": -0.018413,
        "regime_survival": 0.810811,
        "best_return": 0.410714,
        "worst_return": -0.243243,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": -0.08642,
        "positive_rate": 0.307692,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.615385,
        "median_excess_return": -0.067437,
        "regime_survival": 0.615385,
        "best_return": 0.586207,
        "worst_return": -0.325581,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.129837,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.176569,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
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        "worst_return": -0.492308,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.269524,
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        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.53125,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 150850.25,
        "trend": 0.3465,
        "fair_value": 0.481788,
        "relative_strength": -3.992684,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 147478.15,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 168626.2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 189637.35,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "stage": 3,
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        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 148776.55,
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        "fair_value": 0.444449,
        "relative_strength": -8.672311,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 145695.05,
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        "fair_value": 0.440218,
        "relative_strength": -12.327012,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -38.972402,
        "energy": 48.965044,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 19432,
        "typical_volume": 142727.1,
        "trend": 0.353333,
        "fair_value": 0.436147,
        "relative_strength": -11.505521,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -36.463839,
        "energy": 53.893929,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.325667,
          0.337636,
          0.347857,
          0.355581
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.325,
        "volume": 74751,
        "typical_volume": 138067.25,
        "trend": 0.354667,
        "fair_value": 0.431981,
        "relative_strength": -10.990503,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -59.328752,
        "energy": 61.870245,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.323667,
          0.334273,
          0.344643,
          0.353753
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.33,
        "volume": 28262,
        "typical_volume": 134737.8,
        "trend": 0.356333,
        "fair_value": 0.427814,
        "relative_strength": -10.858955,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -56.92526,
        "energy": 54.698096,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.325,
          0.332091,
          0.34231,
          0.352161
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.33,
        "volume": 103935,
        "typical_volume": 125219.05,
        "trend": 0.358,
        "fair_value": 0.423647,
        "relative_strength": -11.268401,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -53.105581,
        "energy": 36.420482,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.326667,
          0.330091,
          0.340286,
          0.350462
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}