{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "9be29241-36f2-436a-b615-b1d5eef6fd20",
    "symbol": "600716",
    "name": "Jiangsu Phoenix Property Investment Company Limited",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -62.174,
    "architecture_energy": 52.763,
    "architecture_maturity": 40.425,
    "architecture_confidence": 95.891,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 11.87,
        "rotation_up": 22.84,
        "upward_expansion": 8.45,
        "deceleration": 58.01,
        "rotation_down": 56.28,
        "downward_expansion": 81.78
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        3.303333,
        3.357636,
        3.589619,
        3.796538
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 3.44,
    "trend_reference": 4.020667,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.14442,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 3.584808,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.040395,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -13.044365,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.194379,
    "excess_performance": -0.151176,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.14442,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.041634,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.040395,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.2526,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.130444,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.127661,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.194379,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.259003,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 35843910,
      "relative_activity": 0.984878,
      "balance": 0.259003,
      "dry_up": 1.031349,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 6
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.092576,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.361637,
      "from_high_reference": -0.300813,
      "from_low_reference": 0.174061
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 4.020667,
      "fair_value_reference": 3.584808,
      "structural_low": 2.93,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 23,
        "median_return": -0.002646,
        "positive_rate": 0.478261,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.521739,
        "median_excess_return": 0.008239,
        "regime_survival": 0.73913,
        "best_return": 0.34902,
        "worst_return": -0.171171,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": -0.015,
        "positive_rate": 0.444444,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.555556,
        "median_excess_return": -0.018336,
        "regime_survival": 0.555556,
        "best_return": 0.354839,
        "worst_return": -0.212698,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.032787,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.053082,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
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        "worst_return": -0.136872,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.011173,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.125212,
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        "best_return": 0.315,
        "worst_return": -0.142857,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-02-23",
        "end": "2024-09-27",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.012821,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "end": "2024-11-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.063636,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.132308,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "return": 0.078212,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-10-31",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "tenure": "New",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "active": true
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 38563530.95,
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        "fair_value": 3.590256,
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        "stage": 4,
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        "direction": -81.453497,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 3.32,
        "volume": 33259095,
        "typical_volume": 37489354.6,
        "trend": 4.035,
        "fair_value": 3.587372,
        "relative_strength": -14.055944,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -65.578256,
        "energy": 64.692881,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.251333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 3.44,
        "volume": 35843910,
        "typical_volume": 36394273.0,
        "trend": 4.020667,
        "fair_value": 3.584808,
        "relative_strength": -13.044365,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 52.763084,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}