{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9bffed33-f1c6-4a61-a4b3-4c1963c3886c", "symbol": "MAANALU", "name": "Maan Aluminium Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -59.38, "architecture_energy": 53.177, "architecture_maturity": 22.223, "architecture_confidence": 90.992, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.37, "rotation_up": 18.21, "upward_expansion": 9.41, "deceleration": 44.4, "rotation_down": 56.6, "downward_expansion": 80.41 }, "activity_lines": [ 120.847335, 122.05491, 127.939858, 130.728668 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 124.43, "trend_reference": 134.925001, "distance_from_trend": -0.077784, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 130.312757, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.045143, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -6.568695, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.172067, "excess_performance": -0.128358, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.077784, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.065126, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.045143, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.223465, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.065687, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.226601, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.172067, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.764902, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 443330, "relative_activity": 0.836437, "balance": 0.764902, "dry_up": 0.67739, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.068039, "annualized_volatility": 0.314219, "from_high_reference": -0.326459, "from_low_reference": 0.2443 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 134.925001, "fair_value_reference": 130.312757, "structural_low": 110.400002, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.118295, "positive_rate": 0.692308, "directional_follow_through": 0.307692, "median_excess_return": 0.093034, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 0.517479, "worst_return": -0.232825, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.248195, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.289287, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.543489, "worst_return": -0.277454, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.085096, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.067773, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.805982, "worst_return": -0.171834, "sufficient": false }, { 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[ 122.113335, 125.495455, 131.347382, 133.906238 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 114.860001, "volume": 210375, "typical_volume": 505295.9, "trend": 136.910667, "fair_value": 129.770769, "relative_strength": -10.725629, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.493019, "energy": 75.82184, "activity_lines": [ 119.154001, 122.874001, 129.598192, 132.375829 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 122.620003, "volume": 516737, "typical_volume": 519873.35, "trend": 135.670334, "fair_value": 130.01, "relative_strength": -7.149946, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.004601, "energy": 69.990278, "activity_lines": [ 119.600002, 122.109274, 128.668239, 131.453851 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 124.43, "volume": 443330, "typical_volume": 530022.0, "trend": 134.925001, "fair_value": 130.312757, "relative_strength": -6.568695, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.379833, "energy": 53.177291, "activity_lines": [ 120.847335, 122.05491, 127.939858, 130.728668 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }