{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "9c1d11a6-6b7e-4270-bc54-004ba2a41b76",
    "symbol": "EFFH",
    "name": "Effnetplattformen Holding AB (publ)",
    "exchange": "STO",
    "country": "SE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^OMX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 29.138,
    "architecture_energy": 18.659,
    "architecture_maturity": 60.048,
    "architecture_confidence": 90.523,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 51.53,
        "rotation_up": 19.59,
        "upward_expansion": 52.19,
        "deceleration": 91.27,
        "rotation_down": 29.92,
        "downward_expansion": 18.19
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        8.096667,
        8.411818,
        8.355381,
        7.593097
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 7.85,
    "trend_reference": 6.585667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.191983,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 5.135705,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.528515,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 25.969925,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.851415,
    "excess_performance": 0.789921,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.191983,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.288864,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.528515,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.726109,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.259699,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -1.063989,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.851415,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.639678,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 11043,
      "relative_activity": 0.206093,
      "balance": 0.639678,
      "dry_up": 0.262631,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.178344,
      "annualized_volatility": 1.452951,
      "from_high_reference": -0.509375,
      "from_low_reference": 1.532258
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 6.585667,
      "fair_value_reference": 5.135705,
      "structural_low": 3.96,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.057895,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.094805,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.4625,
        "worst_return": -0.106145,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.184211,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.123465,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.184211,
        "worst_return": 0.184211,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.121053,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.072292,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.121053,
        "worst_return": 0.121053,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 1.236842,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 1.001149,
        "regime_survival": 1.0,
        "best_return": 1.236842,
        "worst_return": 1.236842,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-03-08",
        "end": "2024-07-05",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.017544,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-07-12",
        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.240678,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-08-16",
        "end": "2024-12-06",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.053333,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-12-13",
        "end": "2024-12-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.045455,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-12-27",
        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.034483,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.063584,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.154867,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-07-18",
        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.310526,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-10-03",
        "end": "2025-12-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.249558,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-12-12",
        "end": "2026-03-06",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.260204,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-03-13",
        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.066667,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "end": "2026-05-01",
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        "return": 0.013636,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.252212,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.076471,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "relative_strength": -5.129845,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -5.619356,
        "energy": 7.869425,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.414667,
          4.461455,
          4.471905,
          4.436086
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 11.3,
        "volume": 377504,
        "typical_volume": 38014.85,
        "trend": 4.652,
        "fair_value": 5.011923,
        "relative_strength": 132.368868,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.042417,
        "energy": 83.087356,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.716,
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          5.126952,
          4.879226
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 8.65,
        "volume": 228375,
        "typical_volume": 49119.65,
        "trend": 4.790333,
        "fair_value": 5.011987,
        "relative_strength": 76.674747,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.711433,
        "energy": 82.789103,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.674,
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          5.495619,
          5.137161
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 44748,
        "typical_volume": 50980.4,
        "trend": 4.913,
        "fair_value": 5.013782,
        "relative_strength": 56.359203,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.464632,
        "energy": 80.32112,
        "activity_lines": [
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          6.761273,
          5.781,
          5.344237
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 219478,
        "typical_volume": 61473.45,
        "trend": 5.109667,
        "fair_value": 5.031731,
        "relative_strength": 103.757388,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.639674,
        "energy": 88.311817,
        "activity_lines": [
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          6.295905,
          5.71114
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 9.6,
        "volume": 2682,
        "typical_volume": 60539.95,
        "trend": 5.269667,
        "fair_value": 5.046603,
        "relative_strength": 82.90168,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.335817,
        "energy": 72.148698,
        "activity_lines": [
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          6.685095,
          6.000839
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 9.95,
        "volume": 7411,
        "typical_volume": 59179.5,
        "trend": 5.436,
        "fair_value": 5.064231,
        "relative_strength": 86.521063,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.390685,
        "energy": 63.307862,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 39252,
        "typical_volume": 60494.7,
        "trend": 5.593667,
        "fair_value": 5.076987,
        "relative_strength": 64.257754,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.073072,
        "energy": 54.289721,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 8.95,
        "volume": 26,
        "typical_volume": 60066.95,
        "trend": 5.756667,
        "fair_value": 5.090769,
        "relative_strength": 61.537814,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.941235,
        "energy": 46.246544,
        "activity_lines": [
          9.373333,
          9.15,
          7.621857,
          6.752495
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 8.75,
        "volume": 10662,
        "typical_volume": 58795.65,
        "trend": 5.907,
        "fair_value": 5.101987,
        "relative_strength": 51.643461,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 46.803845,
        "energy": 35.588586,
        "activity_lines": [
          9.08,
          9.194727,
          7.834238,
          6.945613
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 8.45,
        "volume": 12186,
        "typical_volume": 58194.25,
        "trend": 6.058,
        "fair_value": 5.111795,
        "relative_strength": 47.783378,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 41.842706,
        "energy": 27.908224,
        "activity_lines": [
          8.81,
          9.107273,
          7.996571,
          7.109677
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 8.5,
        "volume": 6863,
        "typical_volume": 57331.45,
        "trend": 6.202667,
        "fair_value": 5.122692,
        "relative_strength": 48.199853,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 37.601285,
        "energy": 22.432609,
        "activity_lines": [
          8.633333,
          8.956364,
          8.145905,
          7.267226
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 8.05,
        "volume": 29826,
        "typical_volume": 57339.1,
        "trend": 6.332333,
        "fair_value": 5.126346,
        "relative_strength": 36.497332,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 32.998213,
        "energy": 17.650891,
        "activity_lines": [
          8.403333,
          8.774545,
          8.234095,
          7.386409
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 8.15,
        "volume": 8558,
        "typical_volume": 54000.9,
        "trend": 6.464,
        "fair_value": 5.130385,
        "relative_strength": 34.68261,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 30.81211,
        "energy": 16.582353,
        "activity_lines": [
          8.273333,
          8.621818,
          8.317,
          7.503677
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 7.85,
        "volume": 11043,
        "typical_volume": 53582.7,
        "trend": 6.585667,
        "fair_value": 5.135705,
        "relative_strength": 25.969925,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 29.137801,
        "energy": 18.659457,
        "activity_lines": [
          8.096667,
          8.411818,
          8.355381,
          7.593097
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}