{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "9c26191b-0c8b-4102-80b2-abecfa273524",
    "symbol": "VIG",
    "name": "VANGUARD SPECIALIZED FUNDS VANGUARD DIVIDEND APPRECIATION ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 88.846,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 88.638,
    "architecture_energy": 76.588,
    "architecture_maturity": 33.376,
    "architecture_confidence": 77.125,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 1.04,
        "rotation_up": 73.63,
        "upward_expansion": 92.39,
        "deceleration": 46.98,
        "rotation_down": 20.2,
        "downward_expansion": 14.39
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 245.23,
    "trend_reference": 228.408637,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.073646,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 194.259539,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.262383,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -1.846127,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.072626,
    "excess_performance": -0.052999,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.073646,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.027883,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.262383,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.050012,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.018461,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.036925,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.072626,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.80409,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 5453685,
      "relative_activity": 1.006402,
      "balance": 2.80409,
      "dry_up": 0.97128,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.016895,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.100019,
      "from_high_reference": -0.001913,
      "from_low_reference": 0.202396
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 194.259539,
      "structural_low": 210.01,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 43,
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        "positive_rate": 0.697674,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.697674,
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        "worst_return": -0.0642,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "trend": 227.048824,
        "fair_value": 193.14595,
        "relative_strength": -0.133957,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 239.17,
        "volume": 5276845,
        "typical_volume": 5548395.55,
        "trend": 227.696791,
        "fair_value": 193.68384,
        "relative_strength": -0.955695,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 70.384765,
        "energy": 72.60818,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 245.23,
        "volume": 5453685,
        "typical_volume": 5418991.0,
        "trend": 228.408637,
        "fair_value": 194.259539,
        "relative_strength": -1.846127,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}