{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9c297e59-e8d4-410b-b0ae-d8562ff6e1d0", "symbol": "QPM", "name": "QPM Energy Limited", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -67.233, "architecture_energy": 87.268, "architecture_maturity": 72.364, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 6.84, "rotation_up": 25.06, "upward_expansion": 21.47, "deceleration": 37.23, "rotation_down": 61.58, "downward_expansion": 94.8 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.009, 0.0106, 0.015686, 0.019495 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.009, "trend_reference": 0.0247, "distance_from_trend": -0.635628, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.040285, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.776593, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -71.477699, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.742857, "excess_performance": -0.806563, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.635628, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.244648, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.776593, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.318586, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.714777, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.451548, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.742857, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.017443, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.017443, "dry_up": 0.0, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.235043, "annualized_volatility": 0.857494, "from_high_reference": -0.816327, "from_low_reference": 0.0 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.0247, "fair_value_reference": 0.040285, "structural_low": 0.009, "invalidation": "Reclaiming 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"close": 0.009, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 21370273.3, "trend": 0.0267, "fair_value": 0.041478, "relative_strength": -70.782121, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.890743, "energy": 90.80922, "activity_lines": [ 0.0094, 0.0128, 0.01809, 0.021716 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.009, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 17287508.55, "trend": 0.025733, "fair_value": 0.040862, "relative_strength": -71.020527, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.61815, "energy": 88.896937, "activity_lines": [ 0.009, 0.011582, 0.016833, 0.020574 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.009, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 16417750.25, "trend": 0.0247, "fair_value": 0.040285, "relative_strength": -71.477699, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.232565, "energy": 87.267783, "activity_lines": [ 0.009, 0.0106, 0.015686, 0.019495 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }