{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "9c29bf65-9a9a-4205-aaba-0c8e5bfb7ccb",
    "symbol": "5LE",
    "name": "Sitra Holdings (International) Limited",
    "exchange": "SES",
    "country": "SG",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^STI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 33.072,
    "architecture_energy": 19.64,
    "architecture_maturity": 57.87,
    "architecture_confidence": 96,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 42.54,
        "rotation_up": 25.9,
        "upward_expansion": 57.44,
        "deceleration": 87.68,
        "rotation_down": 31.46,
        "downward_expansion": 21.1
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.023733,
        0.024582,
        0.023924,
        0.022243
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 0.023,
    "trend_reference": 0.0204,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.127451,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.012083,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.903448,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 23.980964,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.4375,
    "excess_performance": 0.282665,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.127451,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.310493,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.903448,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.189163,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.23981,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.316001,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.4375,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 14.092207,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 200100,
      "relative_activity": 0.060693,
      "balance": 14.092207,
      "dry_up": 0.139296,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.147157,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.821904,
      "from_high_reference": -0.233333,
      "from_low_reference": 2.833333
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.0204,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.012083,
      "structural_low": 0.013,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.076923,
        "positive_rate": 0.571429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": 0.028397,
        "regime_survival": 0.285714,
        "best_return": 0.916667,
        "worst_return": -0.142857,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.166667,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.083057,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.8,
        "worst_return": -0.076923,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.076923,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.006194,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 1.8,
        "worst_return": -0.142857,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.260989,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.356038,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.214286,
        "worst_return": -0.307692,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-06-21",
        "end": "2024-07-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.133333,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-07-26",
        "end": "2024-09-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.307692,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-10-04",
        "end": "2024-11-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-12-06",
        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.083333,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.25,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-07-11",
        "end": "2025-08-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.2,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-09-05",
        "end": "2025-09-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-09-19",
        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.090909,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-11-28",
        "end": "2025-12-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.2,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-01-02",
        "end": "2026-03-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.166667,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-03-13",
        "end": "2026-05-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.266667,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-05-08",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.105263,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-08-07",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 0.012,
        "volume": 505000,
        "typical_volume": 421200.0,
        "trend": 0.013,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-08-25",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-15",
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        "typical_volume": 292455.0,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-22",
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        "typical_volume": 253315.0,
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      },
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        "date": "2023-11-24",
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        "date": "2023-12-08",
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        "date": "2023-12-22",
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        "date": "2024-01-05",
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "date": "2024-01-12",
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        "date": "2024-01-19",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 3940175.0,
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        "fair_value": 0.011756,
        "relative_strength": 63.119,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.319513,
        "energy": 48.401872,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 400000,
        "typical_volume": 3696135.0,
        "trend": 0.0193,
        "fair_value": 0.011853,
        "relative_strength": 52.516231,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 49.845158,
        "energy": 41.350991,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.025867,
          0.025891,
          0.023329,
          0.021542
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.026,
        "volume": 536900,
        "typical_volume": 3591025.0,
        "trend": 0.019767,
        "fair_value": 0.011955,
        "relative_strength": 47.180159,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 49.17281,
        "energy": 41.624036,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.025933,
          0.026,
          0.023829,
          0.021974
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.021,
        "volume": 700000,
        "typical_volume": 3488355.0,
        "trend": 0.020067,
        "fair_value": 0.012013,
        "relative_strength": 16.408795,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 31.794217,
        "energy": 24.654603,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.0244,
          0.025091,
          0.023795,
          0.022054
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.023,
        "volume": 200100,
        "typical_volume": 3296925.0,
        "trend": 0.0204,
        "fair_value": 0.012083,
        "relative_strength": 23.980964,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 33.071655,
        "energy": 19.640088,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.023733,
          0.024582,
          0.023924,
          0.022243
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}