{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9c362288-5e28-406a-9c55-d1d48cabf8f2", "symbol": "AHG", "name": "Akso Health Group ADR", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -56.504, "architecture_energy": 29.692, "architecture_maturity": 29.044, "architecture_confidence": 87.932, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.7, "rotation_up": 24.69, "upward_expansion": 3.16, "deceleration": 51.84, "rotation_down": 35.26, "downward_expansion": 69.49 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.473367, 1.474927, 1.560367, 1.650799 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 1.3501, "trend_reference": 1.689947, "distance_from_trend": -0.201099, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1.319682, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.02305, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -28.869193, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.093893, "excess_performance": -0.281346, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.201099, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.001822, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.02305, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.595734, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.288692, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.27412, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.093893, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.144238, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 46289, "relative_activity": 0.124104, "balance": 0.144238, "dry_up": 0.109814, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.226849, "annualized_volatility": 1.016301, "from_high_reference": -0.45996, "from_low_reference": 0.227364 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.689947, "fair_value_reference": 1.319682, "structural_low": 1.1, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.111776, "positive_rate": 0.272727, "directional_follow_through": 0.272727, "median_excess_return": -0.108358, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.783333, "worst_return": -0.408867, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.196485, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.283526, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.458128, "worst_return": -0.501684, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.263499, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.347869, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.266667, "worst_return": -0.640337, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"color": "amber", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-09-12", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.105093, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-19", "end": "2025-10-03", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.096045, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-10-10", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.11875, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-11-21", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.127907, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-12-19", "end": "2026-03-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.046512, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-03-13", "end": "2026-03-27", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.056, "active": false }, { 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"activity_lines": [ 1.484, 1.477636, 1.679048, 1.703186 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.51, "volume": 34507, "typical_volume": 445515.75, "trend": 1.688273, "fair_value": 1.296987, "relative_strength": -19.213126, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -12.644978, "energy": 12.762956, "activity_lines": [ 1.504667, 1.473273, 1.651333, 1.692158 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.51, "volume": 48593, "typical_volume": 447139.45, "trend": 1.691943, "fair_value": 1.304936, "relative_strength": -17.109461, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.495247, "energy": 21.134582, "activity_lines": [ 1.514, 1.477455, 1.623214, 1.680657 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.57, "volume": 34447, "typical_volume": 421333.4, "trend": 1.690943, "fair_value": 1.312951, "relative_strength": -13.778188, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.583053, "energy": 18.853904, "activity_lines": [ 1.532, 1.496545, 1.600048, 1.672789 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.3501, "volume": 46289, "typical_volume": 372986.9, "trend": 1.689947, "fair_value": 1.319682, "relative_strength": -28.869193, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.503549, "energy": 29.692243, "activity_lines": [ 1.473367, 1.474927, 1.560367, 1.650799 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }