{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9c4bb637-cd13-4492-a7d8-5ef16df85f71", "symbol": "300289", "name": "Beijing Leadman Biochemistry Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -53.656, "architecture_energy": 35.306, "architecture_maturity": 75.819, "architecture_confidence": 83.842, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.5, "rotation_up": 23.7, "upward_expansion": 4.38, "deceleration": 59.51, "rotation_down": 44.57, "downward_expansion": 75.38 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.616667, 5.642545, 5.876429, 6.105677 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 5.87, "trend_reference": 6.435667, "distance_from_trend": -0.087896, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.735452, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.023459, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -20.684934, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.20996, "excess_performance": -0.217359, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.087896, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.085193, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.023459, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.156077, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.206849, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.003936, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.20996, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.579128, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 28209314, "relative_activity": 0.917141, "balance": 0.579128, "dry_up": 1.118705, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.103787, "annualized_volatility": 0.29695, "from_high_reference": -0.497001, "from_low_reference": 0.131021 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.435667, "fair_value_reference": 5.735452, "structural_low": 5.19, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": 0.001626, "positive_rate": 0.518519, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": 0.021405, "regime_survival": 0.740741, "best_return": 0.316456, "worst_return": -0.161225, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.017119, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.030751, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.351563, "worst_return": -0.167151, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.023227, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.051125, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.701124, "worst_return": -0.230375, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"color": "blue", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.124, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.098876, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.038153, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-07-11", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.022814, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-09-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.447842, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-09-19", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.001299, "active": false 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"2026-07-17", "close": 5.62, "volume": 44468821, "typical_volume": 30342146.75, "trend": 6.581, "fair_value": 5.737591, "relative_strength": -22.421533, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.886756, "energy": 47.583374, "activity_lines": [ 5.634667, 5.757091, 6.059571, 6.289785 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.28, "volume": 36377059, "typical_volume": 30450742.2, "trend": 6.520333, "fair_value": 5.735296, "relative_strength": -27.13924, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.008803, "energy": 49.23341, "activity_lines": [ 5.507333, 5.648364, 5.963476, 6.205849 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.57, "volume": 28580698, "typical_volume": 30598749.55, "trend": 6.472333, "fair_value": 5.734669, "relative_strength": -21.724793, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.695973, "energy": 43.765169, "activity_lines": [ 5.516, 5.612182, 5.902619, 6.144538 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.87, "volume": 28209314, "typical_volume": 30757867.75, "trend": 6.435667, "fair_value": 5.735452, "relative_strength": -20.684934, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.656249, "energy": 35.306339, "activity_lines": [ 5.616667, 5.642545, 5.876429, 6.105677 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }