{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "9c52384b-bca8-4357-9861-2bc66a9a2cf8",
    "symbol": "300259",
    "name": "Suntront Technology Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 54.193,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -17.731,
    "architecture_energy": 32.385,
    "architecture_maturity": 9.159,
    "architecture_confidence": 60.03,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 45.23,
        "rotation_up": 17.42,
        "upward_expansion": 20.3,
        "deceleration": 54.77,
        "rotation_down": 59.9,
        "downward_expansion": 42.96
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        4.437333,
        4.864182,
        5.166332,
        5.109262
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 4.56,
    "trend_reference": 5.008173,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.089488,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 3.646299,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.250583,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -3.223736,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.030358,
    "excess_performance": -0.037758,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.089488,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.058334,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.250583,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.018426,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.032237,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.081086,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.030358,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.944682,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 262032055,
      "relative_activity": 1.311771,
      "balance": 0.944682,
      "dry_up": 1.249264,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.233178,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.777727,
      "from_high_reference": -0.392,
      "from_low_reference": 0.28901
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 5.008173,
      "fair_value_reference": 3.646299,
      "structural_low": 3.78,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.014045,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.040175,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.067797,
        "worst_return": 0.008197,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.009956,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.095786,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.016949,
        "worst_return": 0.002962,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.167034,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.015838,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.09678,
        "worst_return": -0.237288,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.273596,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.02584,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.250553,
        "worst_return": -0.296638,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-04-12",
        "end": "2024-05-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.093093,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-05-10",
        "end": "2024-09-27",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.050189,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-10-04",
        "end": "2024-11-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.045317,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-11-08",
        "end": "2025-01-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.183478,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-10",
        "end": "2025-04-25",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.065831,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-05-02",
        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.044248,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-16",
        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.075317,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-25",
        "end": "2025-12-12",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.169355,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-12-19",
        "end": "2026-01-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.064444,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-01-16",
        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.027368,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-04-24",
        "end": "2026-05-15",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.192915,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-05-22",
        "end": "2026-06-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.251673,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-03",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.344068,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-08-07",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2023-07-28",
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        "typical_volume": 53094219.8,
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        "relative_strength": 9.51564,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-08-04",
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      },
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      },
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 192774614.0,
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        "fair_value": 3.633543,
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        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "energy": 14.435885,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 225583099,
        "typical_volume": 194808561.2,
        "trend": 5.015458,
        "fair_value": 3.638204,
        "relative_strength": -5.014718,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -14.313116,
        "energy": 16.800702,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 3.87,
        "volume": 195938076,
        "typical_volume": 193381666.25,
        "trend": 5.000804,
        "fair_value": 3.639626,
        "relative_strength": -13.478237,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -32.275362,
        "energy": 32.879632,
        "activity_lines": [
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          5.221087,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 4.56,
        "volume": 262032055,
        "typical_volume": 199754396.05,
        "trend": 5.008173,
        "fair_value": 3.646299,
        "relative_strength": -3.223736,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -17.730973,
        "energy": 32.384577,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}