{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9c6c566c-750c-4536-b9db-fabbfaa02aff", "symbol": "PRO", "name": "Promimic AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -42.638, "architecture_energy": 24.071, "architecture_maturity": 69.922, "architecture_confidence": 61.195, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.53, "rotation_up": 21.83, "upward_expansion": 6.79, "deceleration": 55.58, "rotation_down": 39.99, "downward_expansion": 60.46 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.28, 10.28, 10.72119, 11.006452 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 10.3, "trend_reference": 11.575, "distance_from_trend": -0.110151, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 23.629167, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.564098, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -31.83147, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.266904, "excess_performance": -0.328398, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.110151, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.124764, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.564098, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.008236, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.318315, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.051223, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.266904, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 8.602456, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 14504, "relative_activity": 0.539255, "balance": 8.602456, "dry_up": 0.607015, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.167662, "annualized_volatility": 0.888715, "from_high_reference": -0.471795, "from_low_reference": 0.265356 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.575, "fair_value_reference": 23.629167, "structural_low": 8.14, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": -0.015003, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.611111, "median_excess_return": -0.041671, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.394191, "worst_return": -0.188552, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.007541, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.067422, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.505976, "worst_return": -0.294118, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.176471, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.203796, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.410359, "worst_return": -0.241636, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"relative_strength": -37.494987, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.740913, "energy": 51.798591, "activity_lines": [ 10.28, 10.874545, 11.17119, 11.591505 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 10.3, "volume": 12629, "typical_volume": 29769.3, "trend": 12.22, "fair_value": 24.151603, "relative_strength": -33.244227, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.468437, "energy": 51.975466, "activity_lines": [ 10.22, 10.732727, 11.076429, 11.453656 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 10.4, "volume": 10704, "typical_volume": 27083.55, "trend": 12.093333, "fair_value": 24.024038, "relative_strength": -30.851132, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.247315, "energy": 46.216975, "activity_lines": [ 10.266667, 10.627273, 10.99, 11.336237 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 10.0, "volume": 7620, "typical_volume": 26270.45, "trend": 11.943333, "fair_value": 23.873397, "relative_strength": -33.58995, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.40128, "energy": 39.957128, "activity_lines": [ 10.186667, 10.454545, 10.868333, 11.201183 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.4, "volume": 32478, "typical_volume": 27558.6, "trend": 11.775, "fair_value": 23.752244, "relative_strength": -30.814358, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.265129, "energy": 27.780493, "activity_lines": [ 10.253333, 10.369091, 10.796667, 11.101613 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.3, "volume": 14504, "typical_volume": 26896.35, "trend": 11.575, "fair_value": 23.629167, "relative_strength": -31.83147, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.637577, "energy": 24.07148, "activity_lines": [ 10.28, 10.28, 10.72119, 11.006452 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }