{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9c8ffb02-c14f-4fac-9583-058d007edf81", "symbol": "HIUS", "name": "HSBC MSCI USA Islamic Screened UCITS ETF USD Acc", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 63.053, "architecture_energy": 43.839, "architecture_maturity": 70.886, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.21, "rotation_up": 36.41, "upward_expansion": 63.81, "deceleration": 88.33, "rotation_down": 27.96, "downward_expansion": 25.14 }, "activity_lines": [ 39.114147, 39.369449, 38.554249, 37.046107 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 40.4314, "trend_reference": 35.201547, "distance_from_trend": 0.148569, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 29.176836, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.385736, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 13.984097, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.313834, "excess_performance": 0.260523, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.148569, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.086122, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.385736, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.087595, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.139841, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.037227, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.313834, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.674283, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 906, "relative_activity": 0.16312, "balance": 2.674283, "dry_up": 1.205439, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.030914, "annualized_volatility": 0.167734, "from_high_reference": -0.004239, "from_low_reference": 0.444309 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 35.201547, "fair_value_reference": 29.176836, "structural_low": 30.2773, "invalidation": "A 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4423.3, "trend": 33.63972, "fair_value": 28.60483, "relative_strength": 21.440972, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.81668, "energy": 90.427108, "activity_lines": [ 39.9888, 38.974739, 36.489916, 35.132765 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 40.336399, "volume": 343, "typical_volume": 4429.45, "trend": 33.94005, "fair_value": 28.708426, "relative_strength": 19.210578, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.998909, "energy": 83.565853, "activity_lines": [ 40.1719, 39.43034, 37.030005, 35.564809 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 39.941101, "volume": 4201, "typical_volume": 4631.25, "trend": 34.231647, "fair_value": 28.809334, "relative_strength": 19.727939, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.309241, "energy": 68.180645, "activity_lines": [ 40.152907, 39.699409, 37.490125, 35.951974 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 38.1241, "volume": 13712, "typical_volume": 5273.5, "trend": 34.45836, "fair_value": 28.895841, "relative_strength": 13.759105, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.345357, "energy": 60.702209, "activity_lines": [ 39.490954, 39.53108, 37.73748, 36.2031 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 38.470901, "volume": 10347, "typical_volume": 5745.4, "trend": 34.690937, "fair_value": 28.983662, "relative_strength": 13.79997, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.559502, "energy": 52.208385, "activity_lines": [ 39.0415, 39.391602, 37.986759, 36.461973 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 38.2383, "volume": 1816, "typical_volume": 5776.7, "trend": 34.924697, "fair_value": 29.072076, "relative_strength": 10.9349, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.020922, "energy": 36.667355, "activity_lines": [ 38.6444, 39.182764, 38.182389, 36.690836 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 40.4314, "volume": 906, "typical_volume": 5554.2, "trend": 35.201547, "fair_value": 29.176836, "relative_strength": 13.984097, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.052997, "energy": 43.838961, "activity_lines": [ 39.114147, 39.369449, 38.554249, 37.046107 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }