{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9c91f14e-6ef1-4574-b221-3d4f7ce34c1e", "symbol": "SRTS", "name": "Sensus Healthcare Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -43.688, "architecture_energy": 35.417, "architecture_maturity": 63.103, "architecture_confidence": 85.911, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.67, "rotation_up": 27.07, "upward_expansion": 21.58, "deceleration": 38.87, "rotation_down": 33.4, "downward_expansion": 57.92 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.011333, 2.992182, 3.122238, 3.351742 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 3.07, "trend_reference": 3.717333, "distance_from_trend": -0.174139, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.419894, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.305413, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -27.67888, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.390873, "excess_performance": -0.578327, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.174139, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.093849, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.305413, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.00288, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.276789, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.102594, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.390873, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.976483, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 67057, "relative_activity": 0.28265, "balance": 0.976483, "dry_up": 0.391271, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.097058, "annualized_volatility": 0.690802, "from_high_reference": -0.440801, "from_low_reference": 0.154135 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.717333, "fair_value_reference": 4.419894, "structural_low": 2.66, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": -0.02603, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.090947, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.38162, "worst_return": -0.408333, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.065068, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.07428, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.666667, "worst_return": -0.428571, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.022594, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.037053, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 2.15015, "worst_return": -0.545171, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.269585, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.033189, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.289231, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-12-05", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.017949, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-12-19", "end": "2026-01-09", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.24282, "active": false }, { 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"typical_volume": 288020.7, "trend": 3.865667, "fair_value": 4.422265, "relative_strength": -32.055054, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.563698, "energy": 40.123145, "activity_lines": [ 2.996, 2.981273, 3.304286, 3.562151 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.02, "volume": 95301, "typical_volume": 280686.75, "trend": 3.838667, "fair_value": 4.422201, "relative_strength": -29.04959, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.229979, "energy": 32.949858, "activity_lines": [ 3.025333, 2.978909, 3.252, 3.507591 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.03, "volume": 109990, "typical_volume": 246925.8, "trend": 3.813333, "fair_value": 4.423035, "relative_strength": -26.426498, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.119212, "energy": 31.207202, "activity_lines": [ 3.037333, 2.979455, 3.205857, 3.455419 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.91, "volume": 98959, "typical_volume": 239333.95, "trend": 3.773667, "fair_value": 4.421817, "relative_strength": -28.38055, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.149534, "energy": 33.356523, "activity_lines": [ 2.993333, 2.968727, 3.154095, 3.39714 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.07, "volume": 67057, "typical_volume": 237243.85, "trend": 3.717333, "fair_value": 4.419894, "relative_strength": -27.67888, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.687629, "energy": 35.416666, "activity_lines": [ 3.011333, 2.992182, 3.122238, 3.351742 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }