{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "9cb36b5a-fde5-4eab-8814-6d36db4c8493",
    "symbol": "BDU",
    "name": "Federal International (2000) Ltd",
    "exchange": "SES",
    "country": "SG",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^STI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 52.491,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -61.687,
    "architecture_energy": 62.396,
    "architecture_maturity": 13.872,
    "architecture_confidence": 94.074,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 16.22,
        "rotation_up": 17.48,
        "upward_expansion": 13.47,
        "deceleration": 40.76,
        "rotation_down": 61.15,
        "downward_expansion": 86.8
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.205,
        0.208182,
        0.218668,
        0.225685
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 0.215,
    "trend_reference": 0.232032,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.073404,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.1521,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.413544,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -15.2345,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.064762,
    "excess_performance": -0.090073,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.073404,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.024917,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.413544,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.333378,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.152345,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.339842,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.064762,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.758145,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 21900,
      "relative_activity": 0.35575,
      "balance": 0.758145,
      "dry_up": 0.439409,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.067979,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.735466,
      "from_high_reference": -0.332537,
      "from_low_reference": 0.585815
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.232032,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.1521,
      "structural_low": 0.2,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": 0.0,
        "positive_rate": 0.466667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.466667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.014017,
        "regime_survival": 0.8,
        "best_return": 0.379318,
        "worst_return": -0.115391,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.101703,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": 0.070925,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.64999,
        "worst_return": -0.238094,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.042506,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.04479,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
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        "worst_return": -0.384613,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.025746,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.002791,
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        "worst_return": -0.025423,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-02-23",
        "end": "2024-03-08",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "fair_value": 0.141335,
        "relative_strength": 11.067925,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 476360.0,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 469540.0,
        "trend": 0.223314,
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        "relative_strength": 20.947951,
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        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 456205.0,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 454710.0,
        "trend": 0.228212,
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        "relative_strength": 11.003331,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 428985.0,
        "trend": 0.22982,
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        "relative_strength": 4.255266,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 363490.0,
        "trend": 0.232686,
        "fair_value": 0.148926,
        "relative_strength": -6.467874,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -34.907671,
        "energy": 24.392183,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.230667,
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          0.23737
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 0.2,
        "volume": 100,
        "typical_volume": 246725.0,
        "trend": 0.232974,
        "fair_value": 0.149435,
        "relative_strength": -14.028094,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 52.349882,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.22,
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          0.232666,
          0.235261
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 0.2,
        "volume": 1200,
        "typical_volume": 203815.0,
        "trend": 0.233391,
        "fair_value": 0.14992,
        "relative_strength": -17.669496,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -70.546201,
        "energy": 71.076937,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.211,
          0.221545,
          0.228756,
          0.233134
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 0.2,
        "volume": 12600,
        "typical_volume": 133510.0,
        "trend": 0.232846,
        "fair_value": 0.150411,
        "relative_strength": -18.368036,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -71.664228,
        "energy": 81.270854,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.205,
          0.216182,
          0.225314,
          0.230979
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.2,
        "volume": 4100,
        "typical_volume": 73050.0,
        "trend": 0.232301,
        "fair_value": 0.15092,
        "relative_strength": -19.548965,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -66.948512,
        "energy": 82.685295,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.201,
          0.211727,
          0.222408,
          0.22886
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.2,
        "volume": 69600,
        "typical_volume": 66905.0,
        "trend": 0.231917,
        "fair_value": 0.151453,
        "relative_strength": -20.111038,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -65.82092,
        "energy": 79.607536,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.2,
          0.208364,
          0.219739,
          0.226776
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.215,
        "volume": 21900,
        "typical_volume": 61560.0,
        "trend": 0.232032,
        "fair_value": 0.1521,
        "relative_strength": -15.2345,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -61.687151,
        "energy": 62.395932,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.205,
          0.208182,
          0.218668,
          0.225685
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}