{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9cc8a76c-b93b-4933-9c5f-f788e9582a73", "symbol": "GGRP", "name": "The Glimpse Group, Inc.", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 54.425, "architecture_energy": 37.244, "architecture_maturity": 21.499, "architecture_confidence": 77.515, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.13, "rotation_up": 51.67, "upward_expansion": 79.04, "deceleration": 53.12, "rotation_down": 18.39, "downward_expansion": 5.71 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.848893, 0.828471, 0.778309, 0.739791 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.8612, "trend_reference": 0.736863, "distance_from_trend": 0.168738, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.230969, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.300389, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -24.594747, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.03435, "excess_performance": -0.153103, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.168738, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.105249, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.300389, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.358565, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.245947, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.391151, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.03435, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 6.120491, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 256160, "relative_activity": 0.228481, "balance": 6.120491, "dry_up": 0.522456, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.204437, "annualized_volatility": 0.763245, "from_high_reference": -0.534486, "from_low_reference": 1.050476 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.736863, "fair_value_reference": 1.230969, "structural_low": 0.42, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.032032, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.084972, "regime_survival": 0.6875, "best_return": 0.13382, "worst_return": -0.216783, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.230769, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.24354, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.207143, "worst_return": -0.360947, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.333333, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.492227, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.228571, "worst_return": -0.34958, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.506289, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.841708, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": -0.097902, "worst_return": -0.659524, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-12-13", "end": "2024-12-20", "tenure": "New", "return": 1.837398, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-12-27", "end": "2025-01-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.340909, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-01-31", "end": "2025-03-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.235294, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-04-25", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.008696, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-05-02", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.042017, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.134328, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.044025, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-26", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.191617, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-11-14", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.1, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "New", 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25.262875, "energy": 19.501329, "activity_lines": [ 0.79266, 0.787989, 0.716096, 0.714125 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.785, "volume": 412023, "typical_volume": 1049370.35, "trend": 0.745593, "fair_value": 1.278072, "relative_strength": -31.828799, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 13.622514, "energy": 13.249815, "activity_lines": [ 0.788173, 0.792989, 0.727331, 0.716311 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.8755, "volume": 731966, "typical_volume": 1075056.8, "trend": 0.747647, "fair_value": 1.260479, "relative_strength": -21.314519, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 33.13377, "energy": 23.34294, "activity_lines": [ 0.81552, 0.809378, 0.746261, 0.724692 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.8653, "volume": 942840, "typical_volume": 1115419.7, "trend": 0.744823, "fair_value": 1.245321, "relative_strength": -21.459692, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 27.925734, "energy": 21.705029, "activity_lines": [ 0.836473, 0.8198, 0.763024, 0.732283 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.8612, "volume": 256160, "typical_volume": 1121142.4, "trend": 0.736863, "fair_value": 1.230969, "relative_strength": -24.594747, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.424855, "energy": 37.244008, "activity_lines": [ 0.848893, 0.828471, 0.778309, 0.739791 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }