{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "9cca35b7-73a4-45e3-acfd-b9c383ad6765",
    "symbol": "KGH",
    "name": "Knights Group Holdings plc",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 61.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 31.902,
    "architecture_energy": 16.757,
    "architecture_maturity": 41.612,
    "architecture_confidence": 79.934,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 46.38,
        "rotation_up": 30.53,
        "upward_expansion": 57.99,
        "deceleration": 81.37,
        "rotation_down": 29.61,
        "downward_expansion": 19.32
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        181.019048,
        178.270538
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      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 180.0,
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    "distance_from_trend": 0.014862,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 143.126614,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.257628,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -6.016921,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.026925,
    "excess_performance": -0.07816,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.014862,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.02676,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.257628,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.08299,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.060169,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.08272,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.026925,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.332409,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1711257,
      "relative_activity": 2.772061,
      "balance": 3.332409,
      "dry_up": 1.27438,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.066182,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.374737,
      "from_high_reference": -0.154706,
      "from_low_reference": 0.242665
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 143.126614,
      "structural_low": 144.850006,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 18,
        "median_return": -0.021739,
        "positive_rate": 0.444444,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.444444,
        "median_excess_return": -0.000317,
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        "worst_return": -0.123077,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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      },
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "relative_strength": -0.969536,
        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 621762.8,
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        "fair_value": 140.667344,
        "relative_strength": 1.962197,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.864223,
        "energy": 33.161356,
        "activity_lines": [
          185.4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 190.5,
        "volume": 210500,
        "typical_volume": 590903.35,
        "trend": 177.528771,
        "fair_value": 141.348019,
        "relative_strength": 1.489358,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.631555,
        "energy": 36.759995,
        "activity_lines": [
          187.566667,
          186.518182,
          180.309524,
          178.11171
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 175.5,
        "volume": 793382,
        "typical_volume": 576156.85,
        "trend": 177.44606,
        "fair_value": 141.923576,
        "relative_strength": -7.415907,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 35.17015,
        "energy": 23.943958,
        "activity_lines": [
          184.166667,
          184.681818,
          180.316667,
          177.980822
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 179.5,
        "volume": 431678,
        "typical_volume": 559703.35,
        "trend": 177.563342,
        "fair_value": 142.528615,
        "relative_strength": -6.227738,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 36.305318,
        "energy": 19.563073,
        "activity_lines": [
          182.533333,
          183.536364,
          180.664286,
          178.113334
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 180.0,
        "volume": 1711257,
        "typical_volume": 617323.05,
        "trend": 177.363992,
        "fair_value": 143.126614,
        "relative_strength": -6.016921,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 31.902098,
        "energy": 16.7567,
        "activity_lines": [
          181.0,
          182.618182,
          181.019048,
          178.270538
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}