{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "9ccba267-213d-4bf0-82dc-5aa9dd3aed3f",
    "symbol": "DUSL",
    "name": "DIREXION DAILY INDUSTRIALS BULL 3X ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 62.98,
    "architecture_energy": 35.99,
    "architecture_maturity": 62.848,
    "architecture_confidence": 62.416,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 25.42,
        "rotation_up": 44.98,
        "upward_expansion": 70.51,
        "deceleration": 69.89,
        "rotation_down": 23.95,
        "downward_expansion": 8.51
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        94.140911,
        91.479107
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 102.4134,
    "trend_reference": 88.877083,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.152304,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 56.915672,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.799388,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 15.447849,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.11379,
    "excess_performance": -0.011835,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.152304,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.120745,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.799388,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.099795,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.154478,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.052319,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.11379,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.401557,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 54986,
      "relative_activity": 0.591755,
      "balance": 2.401557,
      "dry_up": 0.625131,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.090988,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.414191,
      "from_high_reference": -0.041791,
      "from_low_reference": 0.744336
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 56.915672,
      "structural_low": 66.37,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 27,
        "median_return": 0.014736,
        "positive_rate": 0.62963,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.62963,
        "median_excess_return": 0.012736,
        "regime_survival": 0.703704,
        "best_return": 0.240509,
        "worst_return": -0.282093,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 11,
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        "worst_return": -0.169756,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
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        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": 0.025783,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "worst_return": 0.162232,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "typical_volume": 119233.0,
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        "fair_value": 50.836421,
        "relative_strength": 14.807606,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "fair_value": 51.631048,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 118383.05,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 117271.15,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": 8.955229,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "fair_value": 53.538082,
        "relative_strength": 10.726419,
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "trend": 83.207839,
        "fair_value": 54.399476,
        "relative_strength": 20.682522,
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        "direction": 69.167384,
        "energy": 63.434044,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 108048.35,
        "trend": 84.397475,
        "fair_value": 54.85544,
        "relative_strength": 22.377706,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 76.24487,
        "energy": 74.281238,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 98.9469,
        "volume": 91604,
        "typical_volume": 106520.15,
        "trend": 85.382336,
        "fair_value": 55.276717,
        "relative_strength": 16.141927,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.238091,
        "energy": 70.993826,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 94.33,
        "volume": 80919,
        "typical_volume": 104215.4,
        "trend": 86.261733,
        "fair_value": 55.662256,
        "relative_strength": 12.062455,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.612899,
        "energy": 58.66022,
        "activity_lines": [
          97.906312,
          95.340911,
          91.106706,
          89.248697
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 99.35,
        "volume": 45813,
        "typical_volume": 97115.5,
        "trend": 87.234109,
        "fair_value": 56.077118,
        "relative_strength": 18.260358,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.270551,
        "energy": 46.75213,
        "activity_lines": [
          98.262047,
          96.569431,
          92.251006,
          90.093101
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 94.31,
        "volume": 50631,
        "typical_volume": 93714.7,
        "trend": 88.006195,
        "fair_value": 56.472013,
        "relative_strength": 10.60803,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 52.165644,
        "energy": 31.627086,
        "activity_lines": [
          96.81492,
          96.612876,
          92.850108,
          90.54961
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 102.4134,
        "volume": 54986,
        "typical_volume": 92920.15,
        "trend": 88.877083,
        "fair_value": 56.915672,
        "relative_strength": 15.447849,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.979513,
        "energy": 35.98972,
        "activity_lines": [
          98.330927,
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          94.140911,
          91.479107
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}