{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9cd57787-04e9-4f8b-8d13-790b77557cf9", "symbol": "LRGF", "name": "ISHARES TRUST US EQUITY FACTOR ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 84.268, "architecture_energy": 61.484, "architecture_maturity": 40.909, "architecture_confidence": 82.767, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.87, "rotation_up": 63.0, "upward_expansion": 84.73, "deceleration": 54.2, "rotation_down": 24.06, "downward_expansion": 9.06 }, "activity_lines": [ 76.784667, 76.157829, 75.158454, 73.570974 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 78.79, "trend_reference": 71.777461, "distance_from_trend": 0.097698, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 59.381352, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.326848, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.088239, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.135887, "excess_performance": 0.010263, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.097698, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.032864, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.326848, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.027648, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.000882, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.024363, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.135887, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.760775, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 626362, "relative_activity": 0.73952, "balance": 1.760775, "dry_up": 0.826899, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.024544, "annualized_volatility": 0.131148, "from_high_reference": -0.003415, "from_low_reference": 0.236333 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 71.777461, "fair_value_reference": 59.381352, "structural_low": 63.728764, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 41, "median_return": 0.013367, "positive_rate": 0.707317, "directional_follow_through": 0.707317, "median_excess_return": -0.000977, "regime_survival": 0.780488, "best_return": 0.073596, "worst_return": -0.121192, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.032697, "positive_rate": 0.642857, "directional_follow_through": 0.642857, "median_excess_return": 0.002151, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.15005, "worst_return": -0.052691, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.07635, "positive_rate": 0.888889, "directional_follow_through": 0.888889, "median_excess_return": 0.00726, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.153587, "worst_return": -0.135757, "sufficient": true }, { 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"stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.737167, "energy": 51.996294, "activity_lines": [ 75.609333, 75.413253, 73.924768, 72.517761 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 75.25, "volume": 735807, "typical_volume": 963866.0, "trend": 71.253005, "fair_value": 58.942647, "relative_strength": -0.033953, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.009476, "energy": 49.963013, "activity_lines": [ 75.536667, 75.421218, 74.235799, 72.786899 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 76.1, "volume": 681897, "typical_volume": 875157.45, "trend": 71.483831, "fair_value": 59.152854, "relative_strength": 0.033109, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.895728, "energy": 50.612837, "activity_lines": [ 75.772, 75.556517, 74.591843, 73.099608 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 78.79, "volume": 626362, "typical_volume": 846984.6, "trend": 71.777461, "fair_value": 59.381352, "relative_strength": 0.088239, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.268337, "energy": 61.48365, "activity_lines": [ 76.784667, 76.157829, 75.158454, 73.570974 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }