{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "9cd5b3ef-1ea3-4023-86c7-ed3f46122b40",
    "symbol": "FQT",
    "name": "Frequentis AG",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch",
    "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch",
    "confidence": 78.556,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -18.346,
    "architecture_energy": 17.495,
    "architecture_maturity": 27.687,
    "architecture_confidence": 59.941,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 58.57,
        "rotation_up": 38.17,
        "upward_expansion": 21.78,
        "deceleration": 40.95,
        "rotation_down": 22.94,
        "downward_expansion": 55.78
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        72.006669,
        69.882921,
        71.637047,
        72.531184
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 74.800003,
    "trend_reference": 74.377402,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.005682,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 45.119053,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.657836,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -15.681729,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.113744,
    "excess_performance": -0.287991,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.005682,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.002829,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.657836,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.266814,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.156817,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.174607,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.113744,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.455429,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 41445,
      "relative_activity": 1.111542,
      "balance": 1.455429,
      "dry_up": 1.482458,
      "accumulation_observations": 6,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.091463,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.46612,
      "from_high_reference": -0.252,
      "from_low_reference": 0.375
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 74.377402,
      "fair_value_reference": 45.119053,
      "structural_low": 59.700001,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": 0.02612,
        "positive_rate": 0.733333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.733333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.033909,
        "regime_survival": 0.466667,
        "best_return": 0.10453,
        "worst_return": -0.184023,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.073371,
        "positive_rate": 0.833333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.833333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.030228,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.144404,
        "worst_return": 0.0,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.064795,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": 0.024614,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.171875,
        "worst_return": -0.164645,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.040668,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.227216,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.371877,
        "worst_return": -0.021069,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-06-07",
        "end": "2024-06-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.01191,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-06-21",
        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.033333,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-16",
        "end": "2024-09-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.101351,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-09-20",
        "end": "2024-10-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.003831,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-10-25",
        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.062257,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-02-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.111111,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-02-28",
        "end": "2025-11-07",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 1.421369,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-11-14",
        "end": "2026-01-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.189349,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-01-16",
        "end": "2026-03-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.100245,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-03-13",
        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.072423,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-03-27",
        "end": "2026-04-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.013928,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-04-17",
        "end": "2026-06-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.199747,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-07-03",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.177034,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-08-07",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "fair_value": 40.957764,
        "relative_strength": -0.289842,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 79.974022,
        "volume": 49040,
        "typical_volume": 31540.25,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 71.608116,
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        "typical_volume": 36819.9,
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        "relative_strength": -8.814915,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 38347.4,
        "trend": 74.305896,
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        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -15.578371,
        "energy": 8.269165,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 79.675232,
        "volume": 37351,
        "typical_volume": 38158.85,
        "trend": 74.588404,
        "fair_value": 42.438675,
        "relative_strength": -3.840075,
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        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 15.803715,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "trend": 74.817686,
        "fair_value": 42.752676,
        "relative_strength": -4.070816,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
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        "energy": 15.443571,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "trend": 75.080763,
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        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
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        "gate": "up",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "trend": 75.224069,
        "fair_value": 43.577864,
        "relative_strength": -26.788253,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
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        "gate": "down",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 32820.4,
        "trend": 74.987402,
        "fair_value": 43.800173,
        "relative_strength": -29.079874,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -68.262536,
        "energy": 64.710116,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 34090.3,
        "trend": 74.620735,
        "fair_value": 44.014798,
        "relative_strength": -29.365399,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -69.748505,
        "energy": 73.236185,
        "activity_lines": [
          64.786043,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 67.400002,
        "volume": 52185,
        "typical_volume": 34239.0,
        "trend": 74.554069,
        "fair_value": 44.267868,
        "relative_strength": -21.144711,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -61.451452,
        "energy": 70.757644,
        "activity_lines": [
          64.793279,
          68.467424,
          71.379266,
          72.768745
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 71.5,
        "volume": 60588,
        "typical_volume": 35097.2,
        "trend": 74.664069,
        "fair_value": 44.538366,
        "relative_strength": -17.285186,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -56.714697,
        "energy": 54.04095,
        "activity_lines": [
          66.706667,
          68.602782,
          71.283923,
          72.571708
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 73.800003,
        "volume": 66882,
        "typical_volume": 37048.3,
        "trend": 74.564069,
        "fair_value": 44.828034,
        "relative_strength": -14.412419,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -33.384074,
        "energy": 19.692458,
        "activity_lines": [
          69.540001,
          69.158288,
          71.417628,
          72.515962
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 74.800003,
        "volume": 41445,
        "typical_volume": 37286.05,
        "trend": 74.377402,
        "fair_value": 45.119053,
        "relative_strength": -15.681729,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -18.346334,
        "energy": 17.494906,
        "activity_lines": [
          72.006669,
          69.882921,
          71.637047,
          72.531184
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}