{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9cf52633-2962-4d5b-afd7-f42f1ce73a76", "symbol": "SHREERAMA", "name": "Shree Rama Multi-Tech Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -69.388, "architecture_energy": 65.577, "architecture_maturity": 58.023, "architecture_confidence": 91.784, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.85, "rotation_up": 14.8, "upward_expansion": 13.4, "deceleration": 39.23, "rotation_down": 68.45, "downward_expansion": 89.07 }, "activity_lines": [ 39.762, 41.196364, 42.872333, 44.69686 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 38.380001, "trend_reference": 47.992333, "distance_from_trend": -0.200289, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 38.535705, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.004041, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -24.783331, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.364885, "excess_performance": -0.321176, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.200289, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.092813, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.004041, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.39375, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.247833, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.258739, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.364885, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.358053, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 337544, "relative_activity": 0.629119, "balance": 0.358053, "dry_up": 0.524988, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.111156, "annualized_volatility": 0.516801, "from_high_reference": -0.46687, "from_low_reference": 0.020202 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 47.992333, "fair_value_reference": 38.535705, "structural_low": 37.619999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.036194, "positive_rate": 0.588235, "directional_follow_through": 0.411765, "median_excess_return": -0.003335, "regime_survival": 0.705882, "best_return": 0.384236, "worst_return": -0.153846, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.163674, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.10495, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.762459, "worst_return": 0.004274, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.101562, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.089585, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.769991, "worst_return": 0.05, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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35.297736, "activity_lines": [ 43.624667, 43.892727, 45.338524, 47.785935 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 43.23, "volume": 740774, "typical_volume": 578553.05, "trend": 50.9, "fair_value": 37.982051, "relative_strength": -14.203766, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.137121, "energy": 32.115643, "activity_lines": [ 43.522001, 43.662, 44.984, 47.268064 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 42.040001, "volume": 136328, "typical_volume": 561391.35, "trend": 50.385333, "fair_value": 38.131026, "relative_strength": -16.993261, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.817115, "energy": 41.387103, "activity_lines": [ 43.047334, 43.266909, 44.581714, 46.696452 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 40.18, "volume": 296475, "typical_volume": 545579.15, "trend": 49.649667, "fair_value": 38.272564, "relative_strength": -18.783276, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.882493, "energy": 45.306793, "activity_lines": [ 41.931334, 42.683455, 44.059667, 46.038043 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 39.169998, "volume": 356350, "typical_volume": 543534.95, "trend": 48.688666, "fair_value": 38.4025, "relative_strength": -22.788676, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.453999, "energy": 55.158267, "activity_lines": [ 40.870666, 41.948364, 43.48719, 45.361935 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 38.380001, "volume": 337544, "typical_volume": 536534.75, "trend": 47.992333, "fair_value": 38.535705, "relative_strength": -24.783331, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.38815, "energy": 65.577093, "activity_lines": [ 39.762, 41.196364, 42.872333, 44.69686 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }