{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "9d1f1972-6cd7-4182-94fd-e308fadd97c0",
    "symbol": "ACWIA",
    "name": "UBS MSCI ACWI SF UCITS ETF USD acc",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 92.461,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 80.173,
    "architecture_energy": 59.137,
    "architecture_maturity": 89.665,
    "architecture_confidence": 62.249,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 24.05,
        "rotation_up": 49.54,
        "upward_expansion": 80.96,
        "deceleration": 71.44,
        "rotation_down": 29.28,
        "downward_expansion": 9.96
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        227.130666,
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        223.619285,
        218.957935
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 231.509995,
    "trend_reference": 213.413333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.084796,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 178.749907,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.295161,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -3.427056,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.140837,
    "excess_performance": -0.030055,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.084796,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.04586,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.295161,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.028259,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.034271,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.01667,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.140837,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.349497,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 14661,
      "relative_activity": 1.601184,
      "balance": 3.349497,
      "dry_up": 1.21413,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.019331,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.11309,
      "from_high_reference": -0.003658,
      "from_low_reference": 0.255341
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 213.413333,
      "fair_value_reference": 178.749907,
      "structural_low": 193.309998,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 39,
        "median_return": 0.009843,
        "positive_rate": 0.717949,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.717949,
        "median_excess_return": -0.008281,
        "regime_survival": 0.820513,
        "best_return": 0.203423,
        "worst_return": -0.159897,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": 0.025449,
        "positive_rate": 0.769231,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.769231,
        "median_excess_return": -0.017943,
        "regime_survival": 0.461538,
        "best_return": 0.094621,
        "worst_return": -0.145105,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.086521,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": -0.01332,
        "regime_survival": 0.571429,
        "best_return": 0.141689,
        "worst_return": -0.08125,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.071217,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.219952,
        "worst_return": -0.001759,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "end": "2023-10-27",
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        "return": -0.044398,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.1141,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.118663,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-07-11",
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        "return": 0.021343,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 10907.45,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 10793.5,
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        "fair_value": 177.613433,
        "relative_strength": -2.476482,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 63.240275,
        "energy": 62.009827,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 223.520004,
        "volume": 9906,
        "typical_volume": 8993.5,
        "trend": 212.517333,
        "fair_value": 178.151253,
        "relative_strength": -4.044693,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 49.526364,
        "energy": 47.957542,
        "activity_lines": [
          225.320001,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 231.509995,
        "volume": 14661,
        "typical_volume": 9156.35,
        "trend": 213.413333,
        "fair_value": 178.749907,
        "relative_strength": -3.427056,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.173189,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}