{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9d1fcc77-7587-455c-8aff-74c5d7b4ffa2", "symbol": "JBTM", "name": "JBTMarel Corp", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -46.005, "architecture_energy": 22.891, "architecture_maturity": 31.575, "architecture_confidence": 57.681, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 48.03, "rotation_up": 17.08, "upward_expansion": 16.15, "deceleration": 57.84, "rotation_down": 46.09, "downward_expansion": 56.81 }, "activity_lines": [ 132.359333, 134.361455, 132.808783, 133.81069 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 123.12, "trend_reference": 138.219635, "distance_from_trend": -0.109244, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 118.044873, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.042993, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.544804, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.268505, "excess_performance": -0.39413, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.109244, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.030053, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.042993, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.153537, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.215448, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.11732, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.268505, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.457625, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4681992, "relative_activity": 1.83407, "balance": 1.457625, "dry_up": 1.10889, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.090579, "annualized_volatility": 0.495692, "from_high_reference": -0.275554, "from_low_reference": 0.083938 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 138.219635, "fair_value_reference": 118.044873, "structural_low": 113.585806, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.018753, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.010426, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.093435, "worst_return": -0.15089, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.006017, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.091191, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.161921, "worst_return": -0.212858, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.113523, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.006881, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.227479, "worst_return": -0.117166, "sufficient": true 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decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -9.180996, "energy": 17.962896, "activity_lines": [ 138.265333, 134.801228, 132.154294, 135.588192 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 134.0, "volume": 2322825, "typical_volume": 2700012.15, "trend": 140.296313, "fair_value": 117.667981, "relative_strength": -12.168325, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -8.487052, "energy": 16.138457, "activity_lines": [ 137.642, 134.90421, 132.308577, 135.138596 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 137.14, "volume": 2008324, "typical_volume": 2611411.85, "trend": 139.706586, "fair_value": 117.780393, "relative_strength": -9.287286, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -8.06701, "energy": 13.148767, "activity_lines": [ 137.475333, 135.675313, 132.856113, 134.934963 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 138.47, "volume": 2309903, "typical_volume": 2517890.3, "trend": 139.309649, "fair_value": 117.963767, "relative_strength": -9.143611, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -6.394284, "energy": 7.605756, "activity_lines": [ 137.448, 136.473273, 133.584653, 134.855184 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 123.12, "volume": 4681992, "typical_volume": 2552788.2, "trend": 138.219635, "fair_value": 118.044873, "relative_strength": -21.544804, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.004552, "energy": 22.890799, "activity_lines": [ 132.359333, 134.361455, 132.808783, 133.81069 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }