{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9d22d420-5e0d-409c-8936-cf0a491b7947", "symbol": "TWAV", "name": "TaoWeave Inc.", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -15.049, "architecture_energy": 22.606, "architecture_maturity": 9.729, "architecture_confidence": 63.207, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 50.59, "rotation_up": 21.38, "upward_expansion": 16.9, "deceleration": 56.86, "rotation_down": 49.5, "downward_expansion": 44.24 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.27, 1.320727, 1.423048, 1.419373 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 1.28, "trend_reference": 1.41688, "distance_from_trend": -0.096607, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.923671, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.740031, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -41.802975, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.219048, "excess_performance": 0.031594, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.096607, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.144765, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.740031, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.060922, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.41803, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.024171, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.219048, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 7.307429, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 148233, "relative_activity": 0.037879, "balance": 7.307429, "dry_up": 0.064629, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.300186, "annualized_volatility": 1.011681, "from_high_reference": -0.670867, "from_low_reference": 1.20234 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.41688, "fair_value_reference": 4.923671, "structural_low": 0.5812, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": -0.138889, "positive_rate": 0.176471, "directional_follow_through": 0.176471, "median_excess_return": -0.170727, "regime_survival": 0.647059, "best_return": 0.341935, "worst_return": -0.429395, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.274644, "positive_rate": 0.125, "directional_follow_through": 0.125, "median_excess_return": -0.321375, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.002817, "worst_return": -0.59139, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.590239, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.724615, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": -0.17891, "worst_return": -0.909896, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.343096, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.288889, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.096907, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.185096, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.254286, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "Developing", 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"date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.25, "volume": 141648, "typical_volume": 4695196.3, "trend": 1.468547, "fair_value": 5.443492, "relative_strength": -43.014821, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.209449, "energy": 43.737327, "activity_lines": [ 1.278, 1.362909, 1.463095, 1.44097 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.3, "volume": 488778, "typical_volume": 4702762.9, "trend": 1.446213, "fair_value": 5.16721, "relative_strength": -39.465427, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.828098, "energy": 39.146123, "activity_lines": [ 1.277333, 1.342182, 1.444286, 1.430096 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.28, "volume": 148233, "typical_volume": 3913347.4, "trend": 1.41688, "fair_value": 4.923671, "relative_strength": -41.802975, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -15.049007, "energy": 22.605601, "activity_lines": [ 1.27, 1.320727, 1.423048, 1.419373 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }