{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9d31e942-771b-448d-b84c-0c6b4f2d88f8", "symbol": "1785", "name": "Solar Applied Materials Technology Corporation", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3c", "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "confidence": 69.969, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -25.822, "architecture_energy": 51.206, "architecture_maturity": 7.208, "architecture_confidence": 76.55, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.48, "rotation_up": 14.53, "upward_expansion": 25.67, "deceleration": 50.24, "rotation_down": 65.69, "downward_expansion": 53.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 106.546667, 116.563784, 128.353457, 123.973639 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 104.5, "trend_reference": 111.775982, "distance_from_trend": -0.065094, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 62.654447, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.667878, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -10.572818, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.82258, "excess_performance": 0.381208, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.065094, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.239193, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.667878, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.081194, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.105728, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.618935, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.82258, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.810699, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 50926282, "relative_activity": 0.494499, "balance": 0.810699, "dry_up": 0.393598, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.204903, "annualized_volatility": 0.934113, "from_high_reference": -0.425641, "from_low_reference": 1.03947 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 111.775982, "fair_value_reference": 62.654447, "structural_low": 55.566069, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": 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"stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": -12.691809, "energy": 29.542598, "activity_lines": [ 111.879591, 123.90287, 132.571728, 123.977482 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 114.5, "volume": 36781224, "typical_volume": 109686013.0, "trend": 110.361215, "fair_value": 62.206979, "relative_strength": 1.622657, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -20.519599, "energy": 44.121681, "activity_lines": [ 109.582417, 120.766236, 130.987545, 124.351782 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 104.5, "volume": 50926282, "typical_volume": 102985667.0, "trend": 111.775982, "fair_value": 62.654447, "relative_strength": -10.572818, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -25.82232, "energy": 51.205983, "activity_lines": [ 106.546667, 116.563784, 128.353457, 123.973639 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }