{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9d385924-2328-48d8-91df-925fe9d0e9d2", "symbol": "HIG", "name": "Hartford Financial Services Group", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 48.459, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 68.625, "architecture_energy": 66.469, "architecture_maturity": 6.707, "architecture_confidence": 69.786, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.73, "rotation_up": 76.33, "upward_expansion": 91.69, "deceleration": 39.84, "rotation_down": 9.56, "downward_expansion": 13.69 }, "activity_lines": [ 141.662, 139.084909, 136.351971, 135.864956 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 143.28, "trend_reference": 135.318668, "distance_from_trend": 0.058834, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 111.390013, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.286291, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -4.349455, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.014086, "excess_performance": -0.111539, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.058834, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.007042, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.286291, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.043688, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.043495, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.061801, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.014086, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.489045, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8585520, "relative_activity": 1.081884, "balance": 3.489045, "dry_up": 1.08723, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.043254, "annualized_volatility": 0.18196, "from_high_reference": -0.019067, "from_low_reference": 0.20675 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 135.318668, "fair_value_reference": 111.390013, "structural_low": 125.59, 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137.733333, 134.935367, 134.189897, 134.50418 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 140.53, "volume": 9528030, "typical_volume": 7922892.15, "trend": 134.843478, "fair_value": 110.448038, "relative_strength": -2.032985, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 35.339187, "energy": 45.510876, "activity_lines": [ 139.308, 136.195611, 134.800876, 134.87771 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 141.91, "volume": 8921680, "typical_volume": 7877044.2, "trend": 135.044199, "fair_value": 110.917909, "relative_strength": -2.079337, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.778428, "energy": 65.041753, "activity_lines": [ 140.524, 137.575094, 135.53406, 135.333614 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 143.28, "volume": 8585520, "typical_volume": 7935710.15, "trend": 135.318668, "fair_value": 111.390013, "relative_strength": -4.349455, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.625133, "energy": 66.468843, "activity_lines": [ 141.662, 139.084909, 136.351971, 135.864956 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }