{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9d38832e-8a0b-4118-887a-0ab43426ab50", "symbol": "WILK", "name": "Wilk Technologies Ltd", "exchange": "TLV", "country": "IL", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "TA35.TA", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.438, "architecture_energy": 78.737, "architecture_maturity": 54.891, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 6.84, "rotation_up": 28.74, "upward_expansion": 18.69, "deceleration": 39.67, "rotation_down": 55.56, "downward_expansion": 92.02 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.130133, 6.401436, 78.429472, 118.35035 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 5.37, "trend_reference": 167.672787, "distance_from_trend": -0.967973, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 901.074895, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.99404, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -97.821606, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.974392, "excess_performance": -1.003292, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.967973, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.324428, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.99404, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.28874, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.978216, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.709747, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.974392, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.371463, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 68192, "relative_activity": 0.77602, "balance": 0.371463, "dry_up": 1.60437, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 6.752428, "annualized_volatility": 6.210601, "from_high_reference": -0.989152, "from_low_reference": 0.341159 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 167.672787, "fair_value_reference": 901.074895, "structural_low": 4.004, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 56, "median_return": -0.062244, "positive_rate": 0.321429, "directional_follow_through": 0.678571, "median_excess_return": -0.072534, "regime_survival": 0.875, "best_return": 0.677612, "worst_return": -0.421488, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": -0.203455, "positive_rate": 0.210526, "directional_follow_through": 0.789474, "median_excess_return": -0.248803, "regime_survival": 0.842105, "best_return": 0.397216, "worst_return": -0.961496, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.347383, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.42781, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.168675, "worst_return": -0.9699, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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[ 6.610133, 91.23331, 152.424489, 178.101567 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 7.55, "volume": 111002, "typical_volume": 70988.55, "trend": 199.96462, "fair_value": 966.878453, "relative_strength": -97.381207, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.825099, "energy": 87.535601, "activity_lines": [ 7.135067, 63.537382, 135.488353, 165.099656 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 6.57, "volume": 129258, "typical_volume": 75725.7, "trend": 191.18362, "fair_value": 947.914158, "relative_strength": -97.669351, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.630736, "energy": 80.797045, "activity_lines": [ 7.099333, 40.773273, 119.68055, 152.622584 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.408, "volume": 219647, "typical_volume": 86442.5, "trend": 182.783887, "fair_value": 932.009722, "relative_strength": -97.685702, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.009151, "energy": 65.145027, "activity_lines": [ 6.887467, 23.718436, 104.914128, 140.701576 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.297, "volume": 146833, "typical_volume": 88045.3, "trend": 175.32712, "fair_value": 915.431498, "relative_strength": -97.555759, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.024438, "energy": 65.133867, "activity_lines": [ 6.59, 12.345091, 91.166144, 129.315326 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.37, "volume": 68192, "typical_volume": 87874.05, "trend": 167.672787, "fair_value": 901.074895, "relative_strength": -97.821606, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.43846, "energy": 78.737292, "activity_lines": [ 6.130133, 6.401436, 78.429472, 118.35035 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }