{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9d42aebf-86af-4975-bb9f-1397d88f0a50", "symbol": "FVIA16", "name": "Infraestructura Viable, S.A. de C.V.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 75.713, "architecture_energy": 63.772, "architecture_maturity": 40.935, "architecture_confidence": 72.34, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.36, "rotation_up": 53.75, "upward_expansion": 81.76, "deceleration": 70.62, "rotation_down": 27.89, "downward_expansion": 10.76 }, "activity_lines": [ 19.82346, 19.761381, 19.664369, 19.42665 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 19.940001, "trend_reference": 19.051437, "distance_from_trend": 0.04664, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 19.612785, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.016684, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 3.044398, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.091398, "excess_performance": 0.146065, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.04664, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.032026, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.016684, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.048645, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.030444, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.132566, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.091398, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 10.871028, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 247, "relative_activity": 0.334552, "balance": 10.871028, "dry_up": 1.149939, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.010093, "annualized_volatility": 0.10405, "from_high_reference": -0.036643, "from_low_reference": 0.122108 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 19.051437, "fair_value_reference": 19.612785, "structural_low": 17.770124, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.008933, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.046812, "worst_return": -0.113793, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.011385, "positive_rate": 0.692308, "directional_follow_through": 0.692308, "median_excess_return": 0.002152, "regime_survival": 0.615385, "best_return": 0.049524, "worst_return": -0.119641, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.015619, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.108794, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.054044, "worst_return": -0.098184, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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19.47118, 19.186491 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 19.590631, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 670.6, "trend": 18.842039, "fair_value": 19.612523, "relative_strength": 0.525698, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.223477, "energy": 40.21339, "activity_lines": [ 19.591285, 19.709382, 19.506278, 19.238661 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 19.959999, "volume": 2814, "typical_volume": 734.25, "trend": 18.914394, "fair_value": 19.613102, "relative_strength": 3.178003, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.078171, "energy": 56.324535, "activity_lines": [ 19.715061, 19.74423, 19.572151, 19.310788 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 19.75, "volume": 335, "typical_volume": 730.95, "trend": 18.979748, "fair_value": 19.612335, "relative_strength": 1.669017, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.693624, "energy": 55.800453, "activity_lines": [ 19.742252, 19.73326, 19.611816, 19.364698 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 19.940001, "volume": 247, "typical_volume": 738.3, "trend": 19.051437, "fair_value": 19.612785, "relative_strength": 3.044398, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.712704, "energy": 63.772323, "activity_lines": [ 19.82346, 19.761381, 19.664369, 19.42665 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }