{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9d553ecc-babc-4e0b-aaac-22fd706bc3d8", "symbol": "ARTNIRMAN", "name": "Art Nirman Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 52.396, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -24.862, "architecture_energy": 25.618, "architecture_maturity": 30.87, "architecture_confidence": 84.198, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.95, "rotation_up": 18.65, "upward_expansion": 16.53, "deceleration": 42.82, "rotation_down": 47.86, "downward_expansion": 73.2 }, "activity_lines": [ 40.124667, 40.42891, 40.987477, 40.824345 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 42.490002, "trend_reference": 41.018334, "distance_from_trend": 0.035878, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 53.632821, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.207761, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -4.790887, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.044094, "excess_performance": -0.000385, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.035878, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.065478, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.207761, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.04858, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.047909, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.094734, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.044094, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.939004, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 21952, "relative_activity": 1.208538, "balance": 1.939004, "dry_up": 0.43074, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.075964, "annualized_volatility": 0.645103, "from_high_reference": -0.365537, "from_low_reference": 0.44573 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 41.018334, "fair_value_reference": 53.632821, "structural_low": 29.389999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.035286, "positive_rate": 0.3125, "directional_follow_through": 0.3125, "median_excess_return": -0.043959, "regime_survival": 0.5625, "best_return": 0.489796, "worst_return": -0.129771, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.097148, "positive_rate": 0.222222, "directional_follow_through": 0.222222, "median_excess_return": -0.142052, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.457058, "worst_return": -0.277865, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.044681, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.068873, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.385896, "worst_return": -0.198587, "sufficient": true 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"relative_strength": -8.150383, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.590821, "energy": 26.863348, "activity_lines": [ 40.536667, 40.848728, 41.150239, 41.024388 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 37.07, "volume": 2942, "typical_volume": 17180.95, "trend": 41.170334, "fair_value": 53.678718, "relative_strength": -16.740612, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.819106, "energy": 51.99939, "activity_lines": [ 39.26, 40.106909, 40.814238, 40.739205 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 42.490002, "volume": 21952, "typical_volume": 18164.1, "trend": 41.018334, "fair_value": 53.632821, "relative_strength": -4.790887, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -24.86219, "energy": 25.618398, "activity_lines": [ 40.124667, 40.42891, 40.987477, 40.824345 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }