{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9d85a1d2-104f-4100-a936-65fc20160225", "symbol": "DCAL", "name": "Dishman Carbogen Amcis Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 75.355, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 26.009, "architecture_energy": 21.043, "architecture_maturity": 25.822, "architecture_confidence": 47.356, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 47.7, "rotation_up": 42.16, "upward_expansion": 45.39, "deceleration": 32.09, "rotation_down": 27.6, "downward_expansion": 15.06 }, "activity_lines": [ 189.380666, 187.762909, 185.968809, 182.534473 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 193.039993, "trend_reference": 184.238, "distance_from_trend": 0.047775, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 209.429808, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.078259, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -10.182114, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.039076, "excess_performance": 0.004633, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.047775, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.092087, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.078259, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.009746, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.101821, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.066318, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.039076, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.975683, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1061985, "relative_activity": 0.522122, "balance": 2.975683, "dry_up": 0.472977, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.087391, "annualized_volatility": 0.396061, "from_high_reference": -0.400404, "from_low_reference": 0.502257 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 184.238, "fair_value_reference": 209.429808, "structural_low": 128.5, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.004394, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.000487, "regime_survival": 0.642857, "best_return": 0.314611, "worst_return": -0.205998, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.204658, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.148164, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.327527, "worst_return": -0.336351, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.019058, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.104227, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.561476, "worst_return": -0.416274, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"fair_value": 208.627051, "relative_strength": -9.309736, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -11.786057, "energy": 8.766439, "activity_lines": [ 186.770001, 186.917455, 181.430571, 182.790301 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 191.460007, "volume": 1281699, "typical_volume": 2251819.5, "trend": 190.873667, "fair_value": 208.849872, "relative_strength": -11.317481, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 3.395519, "energy": 9.872177, "activity_lines": [ 189.405336, 187.560729, 182.970667, 182.717376 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 183.580002, "volume": 793351, "typical_volume": 2217522.2, "trend": 188.678667, "fair_value": 209.029231, "relative_strength": -12.494881, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 19.479257, "energy": 22.050535, "activity_lines": [ 188.959336, 186.694729, 183.682191, 182.246817 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 186.5, "volume": 711066, "typical_volume": 2151402.15, "trend": 186.402667, "fair_value": 209.187243, "relative_strength": -12.910979, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 18.929585, "energy": 19.405104, "activity_lines": [ 188.629336, 186.553638, 184.579667, 182.106258 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 193.039993, "volume": 1061985, "typical_volume": 2033976.85, "trend": 184.238, "fair_value": 209.429808, "relative_strength": -10.182114, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 26.009111, "energy": 21.043192, "activity_lines": [ 189.380666, 187.762909, 185.968809, 182.534473 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }