{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9da7a893-a40e-4d43-b68f-2fbd33365794", "symbol": "LPSB3", "name": "LPS Brasil - Consultoria de Im\u00f3veis S.A.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -73.405, "architecture_energy": 65.867, "architecture_maturity": 27.304, "architecture_confidence": 95.527, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 5.76, "rotation_up": 17.69, "upward_expansion": 13.55, "deceleration": 39.95, "rotation_down": 65.62, "downward_expansion": 89.21 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.438667, 1.462364, 1.53024, 1.573001 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 1.39, "trend_reference": 1.618719, "distance_from_trend": -0.141296, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.545142, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.100406, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -12.142982, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.229808, "excess_performance": -0.17276, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.141296, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.031857, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.100406, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.22187, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.12143, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.139903, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.229808, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.216644, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 581000, "relative_activity": 1.037936, "balance": 0.216644, "dry_up": 0.911767, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.074156, "annualized_volatility": 0.361187, "from_high_reference": -0.323666, "from_low_reference": 0.2806 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.618719, "fair_value_reference": 1.545142, "structural_low": 1.34, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": -0.034377, "positive_rate": 0.433333, "directional_follow_through": 0.566667, "median_excess_return": -0.024142, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.46, "worst_return": -0.334821, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.035108, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.020691, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.941705, "worst_return": -0.217544, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.223299, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.13803, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.54887, "worst_return": -0.32, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"color": "green", "start": "2025-06-13", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.042424, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-09-26", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.067165, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.314517, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-11-21", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.177777, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-12-19", "end": "2026-01-09", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.081967, "active": false }, { "regime": 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.521612, "energy": 58.952391, "activity_lines": [ 1.496, 1.529636, 1.594042, 1.622694 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.45, "volume": 465600, "typical_volume": 632150.0, "trend": 1.636314, "fair_value": 1.561212, "relative_strength": -9.714886, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.879497, "energy": 60.654053, "activity_lines": [ 1.475333, 1.507273, 1.57664, 1.610014 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.48, "volume": 337600, "typical_volume": 587545.0, "trend": 1.631249, "fair_value": 1.555688, "relative_strength": -7.747248, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.108483, "energy": 51.504207, "activity_lines": [ 1.473333, 1.496545, 1.56342, 1.599929 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.45, "volume": 657300, "typical_volume": 577885.0, "trend": 1.626144, "fair_value": 1.550236, "relative_strength": -11.36886, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.07888, "energy": 55.026611, "activity_lines": [ 1.464667, 1.483273, 1.54898, 1.588236 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.39, "volume": 581000, "typical_volume": 559765.0, "trend": 1.618719, "fair_value": 1.545142, "relative_strength": -12.142982, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.405405, "energy": 65.867258, "activity_lines": [ 1.438667, 1.462364, 1.53024, 1.573001 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }