{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "9db4bdc3-83af-4fb8-acd8-79ec33571739",
    "symbol": "PM",
    "name": "Philip Morris International Inc.",
    "exchange": "MEX",
    "country": "MX",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^MXX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 64.43,
    "architecture_energy": 72.541,
    "architecture_maturity": 23.889,
    "architecture_confidence": 76.544,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 24.48,
        "rotation_up": 73.61,
        "upward_expansion": 91.89,
        "deceleration": 42.51,
        "rotation_down": 11.2,
        "downward_expansion": 16.22
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        3167.67784,
        3129.08694
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 3248.0,
    "trend_reference": 3097.417656,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.048615,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 2502.401555,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.297953,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 5.278238,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.041498,
    "excess_performance": 0.096165,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.048615,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.043561,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.297953,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.058888,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.052782,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.18819,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.041498,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.275152,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 48,
      "relative_activity": 0.631164,
      "balance": 0.275152,
      "dry_up": 2.90927,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.03607,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.303643,
      "from_high_reference": -0.072,
      "from_low_reference": 0.204158
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 3097.417656,
      "fair_value_reference": 2502.401555,
      "structural_low": 2725.722656,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 23,
        "median_return": 0.032525,
        "positive_rate": 0.608696,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.608696,
        "median_excess_return": 0.016345,
        "regime_survival": 0.826087,
        "best_return": 0.154563,
        "worst_return": -0.135677,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.030644,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
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        "regime_survival": 0.625,
        "best_return": 0.345948,
        "worst_return": -0.071295,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.088703,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.050685,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.138491,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.131063,
        "sufficient": false
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        "active": false
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-03",
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      },
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 86,
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        "trend": 3049.223646,
        "fair_value": 2470.704801,
        "relative_strength": 9.497065,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 72.980605,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 3293.0,
        "volume": 670,
        "typical_volume": 73.65,
        "trend": 3068.164865,
        "fair_value": 2481.232383,
        "relative_strength": 7.16821,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.717581,
        "energy": 76.652631,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 3323.0,
        "volume": 81,
        "typical_volume": 77.7,
        "trend": 3082.441989,
        "fair_value": 2491.821716,
        "relative_strength": 7.465439,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.417347,
        "energy": 78.093469,
        "activity_lines": [
          3293.666667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 3248.0,
        "volume": 48,
        "typical_volume": 76.05,
        "trend": 3097.417656,
        "fair_value": 2502.401555,
        "relative_strength": 5.278238,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.430099,
        "energy": 72.540847,
        "activity_lines": [
          3288.533333,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}