{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "9dc477c8-41af-4aa4-9333-ec1e4c307cb9",
    "symbol": "002937",
    "name": "Ningbo Sunrise Elc Technology Co.,Ltd",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 71.991,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": -4.469,
    "architecture_energy": 28.566,
    "architecture_maturity": 36.972,
    "architecture_confidence": 77.551,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 48.76,
        "rotation_up": 16.69,
        "upward_expansion": 45.39,
        "deceleration": 85.16,
        "rotation_down": 50.57,
        "downward_expansion": 37.06
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        31.355334,
        35.660363,
        35.705955,
        33.934739
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 30.1,
    "trend_reference": 31.261489,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.037154,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 21.554229,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.396478,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 12.899667,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.263138,
    "excess_performance": 0.255739,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.037154,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.2259,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.396478,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.317262,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.128997,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.229875,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.263138,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.883745,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 44446868,
      "relative_activity": 1.117625,
      "balance": 0.883745,
      "dry_up": 1.261859,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.17286,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.658879,
      "from_high_reference": -0.349892,
      "from_low_reference": 0.826037
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 31.261489,
      "fair_value_reference": 21.554229,
      "structural_low": 22.050027,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.015869,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.030087,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.202894,
        "worst_return": -0.170538,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.221948,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.182017,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.64791,
        "worst_return": 0.161003,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.211415,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.35976,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.276481,
        "worst_return": -0.063836,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.275112,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.470638,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.546348,
        "worst_return": 0.003876,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-02-09",
        "end": "2024-03-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.196141,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-03-15",
        "end": "2024-08-02",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.168809,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-08-09",
        "end": "2024-12-06",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.016648,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-12-13",
        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.113029,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.100421,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-02-14",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.09651,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.334859,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.057197,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-06-13",
        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.14125,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-10-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.049739,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-10-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.072889,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.061159,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.64834,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "return": 0.16396,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 38541638.5,
        "trend": 30.942043,
        "fair_value": 21.513849,
        "relative_strength": 29.077446,
        "stage": 2,
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        "energy": 30.017761,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 25.860001,
        "volume": 62705367,
        "typical_volume": 39183041.05,
        "trend": 31.040212,
        "fair_value": 21.520113,
        "relative_strength": 2.854915,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -4.369535,
        "energy": 21.757458,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.604001,
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          36.087974,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 30.1,
        "volume": 44446868,
        "typical_volume": 39769019.0,
        "trend": 31.261489,
        "fair_value": 21.554229,
        "relative_strength": 12.899667,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -4.46928,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}