{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9dd3f491-1760-4e6c-a89a-f9544e66e9e8", "symbol": "LSG", "name": "Ler\u00f8y Seafood Group ASA", "exchange": "OSL", "country": "NO", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "OSEBX.OL", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -40.946, "architecture_energy": 27.054, "architecture_maturity": 83.567, "architecture_confidence": 79.447, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.82, "rotation_up": 27.56, "upward_expansion": 16.76, "deceleration": 46.78, "rotation_down": 29.44, "downward_expansion": 64.42 }, "activity_lines": [ 41.182666, 40.829091, 41.543188, 42.578726 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 41.580002, "trend_reference": 43.747018, "distance_from_trend": -0.049535, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 42.582122, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.023534, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.605955, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.100814, "excess_performance": -0.225808, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.049535, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.032416, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.023534, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.014784, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.17606, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.023329, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.100814, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.46865, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2133926, "relative_activity": 1.052947, "balance": 4.46865, "dry_up": 0.961413, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.036691, "annualized_volatility": 0.181954, "from_high_reference": -0.161217, "from_low_reference": 0.071097 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 43.747018, "fair_value_reference": 42.582122, "structural_low": 38.82, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": 0.040142, "positive_rate": 0.7, "directional_follow_through": 0.3, "median_excess_return": 0.014032, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.147268, "worst_return": -0.361492, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.088248, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": 0.006117, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.189005, "worst_return": -0.274328, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.164673, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.024956, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.210235, "worst_return": -0.237313, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"typical_volume": 2271626.6, "trend": 44.540741, "fair_value": 42.45038, "relative_strength": -20.075191, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.09014, "energy": 84.699564, "activity_lines": [ 40.016, 40.883196, 42.324234, 43.360041 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 40.639999, "volume": 1770902, "typical_volume": 2170738.25, "trend": 44.32311, "fair_value": 42.479382, "relative_strength": -18.080993, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.691721, "energy": 75.035411, "activity_lines": [ 40.072, 40.72839, 42.028559, 43.10838 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 40.939999, "volume": 1802616, "typical_volume": 2103667.3, "trend": 44.121155, "fair_value": 42.515636, "relative_strength": -19.055725, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.074621, "energy": 56.964674, "activity_lines": [ 40.297333, 40.650515, 41.791824, 42.890115 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 41.599998, "volume": 2086241, "typical_volume": 2123619.25, "trend": 43.885384, "fair_value": 42.551227, "relative_strength": -17.75395, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.882727, "energy": 38.992782, "activity_lines": [ 40.777332, 40.724363, 41.65387, 42.72746 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 41.580002, "volume": 2133926, "typical_volume": 2026621.6, "trend": 43.747018, "fair_value": 42.582122, "relative_strength": -17.605955, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.945718, "energy": 27.053857, "activity_lines": [ 41.182666, 40.829091, 41.543188, 42.578726 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }