{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9ddac16f-34fa-4c7f-9ef1-a2662fe8944c", "symbol": "6643", "name": "M31 Technology Corporation", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 91.215, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -30.159, "architecture_energy": 33.392, "architecture_maturity": 15.121, "architecture_confidence": 62.635, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.52, "rotation_up": 24.11, "upward_expansion": 12.59, "deceleration": 52.0, "rotation_down": 52.75, "downward_expansion": 51.92 }, "activity_lines": [ 424.234593, 433.748743, 475.695558, 483.793755 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 440.0, "trend_reference": 482.994234, "distance_from_trend": -0.089016, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 712.217228, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.382211, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -32.225972, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.067152, "excess_performance": -0.508524, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.089016, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.025229, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.382211, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.229698, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.32226, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.191285, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.067152, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.495888, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1981384, "relative_activity": 0.474076, "balance": 0.495888, "dry_up": 0.706492, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.159452, "annualized_volatility": 0.588034, "from_high_reference": -0.395565, "from_low_reference": 0.21547 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 482.994234, "fair_value_reference": 712.217228, "structural_low": 362.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.081863, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.05235, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.354686, "worst_return": -0.203065, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.054463, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.017755, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.151424, "worst_return": -0.186957, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.050974, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.020376, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.111726, "worst_return": -0.1326, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }