{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "9de115b8-47de-4610-998b-75c4ce1f0164",
    "symbol": "TILT",
    "name": "FLEXSHARES MORNINGSTAR US MARKET FACTOR TILT INDEX FUND",
    "exchange": "CBOE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 86.262,
    "architecture_energy": 68.001,
    "architecture_maturity": 46.526,
    "architecture_confidence": 86.521,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 9.61,
        "rotation_up": 61.41,
        "upward_expansion": 84.51,
        "deceleration": 59.0,
        "rotation_down": 25.31,
        "downward_expansion": 11.17
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 285.623,
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    "distance_from_trend": 0.091338,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 214.475879,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.331726,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 0.702549,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.116954,
    "excess_performance": -0.008671,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.091338,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.038686,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.331726,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.022066,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.007025,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.008708,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.116954,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.992481,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 18335,
      "relative_activity": 0.433492,
      "balance": 2.992481,
      "dry_up": 0.346829,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.019462,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.122269,
      "from_high_reference": -0.003131,
      "from_low_reference": 0.261529
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 214.475879,
      "structural_low": 234.294252,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 40,
        "median_return": 0.007844,
        "positive_rate": 0.7,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.7,
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        "worst_return": -0.049647,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "worst_return": -0.07541,
        "sufficient": true
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        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 46395.5,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "volume": 12709,
        "typical_volume": 42615.6,
        "trend": 260.658288,
        "fair_value": 213.699469,
        "relative_strength": 1.146069,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 66.48539,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 285.623,
        "volume": 18335,
        "typical_volume": 42296.05,
        "trend": 261.718241,
        "fair_value": 214.475879,
        "relative_strength": 0.702549,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}