{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "9de206c9-5f98-4aaa-b8ae-c16e727a817c",
    "symbol": "CABKN",
    "name": "CaixaBank, S.A.",
    "exchange": "MEX",
    "country": "MX",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^MXX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 57.144,
    "architecture_energy": 64.259,
    "architecture_maturity": 63.874,
    "architecture_confidence": 72.926,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 32.91,
        "rotation_up": 45.13,
        "upward_expansion": 65.5,
        "deceleration": 74.0,
        "rotation_down": 30.0,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        229.160004,
        229.160004,
        224.747401,
        220.699349
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 229.160004,
    "trend_reference": 215.999495,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.060928,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 140.908613,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.626302,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 9.189338,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.100366,
    "excess_performance": 0.155033,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.060928,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.044628,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.626302,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.00643,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.091893,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.104678,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.100366,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 5.0,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 5.0,
      "dry_up": 0.0,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.006905,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.130354,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 0.27626
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 215.999495,
      "fair_value_reference": 140.908613,
      "structural_low": 208.257904,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": 0.017612,
        "positive_rate": 0.769231,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.769231,
        "median_excess_return": 0.055617,
        "regime_survival": 0.230769,
        "best_return": 0.23557,
        "worst_return": -0.236111,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.130108,
        "positive_rate": 0.7,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.7,
        "median_excess_return": 0.114889,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.397874,
        "worst_return": -0.122585,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.195694,
        "positive_rate": 0.833333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.833333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.127858,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.506691,
        "worst_return": -0.032977,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.096288,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.013423,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 1.063817,
        "worst_return": -0.086064,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-09-06",
        "end": "2024-09-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-09-20",
        "end": "2024-12-13",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.084283,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-12-20",
        "end": "2025-01-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.100926,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-24",
        "end": "2025-02-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.105917,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-02-28",
        "end": "2025-04-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.040874,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-05-02",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.098179,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
        "end": "2025-09-12",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.122195,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-09-19",
        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.028556,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-10-03",
        "end": "2025-12-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.127649,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-12-19",
        "end": "2025-12-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-01-02",
        "end": "2026-01-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-02-06",
        "end": "2026-04-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.001595,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-04-17",
        "end": "2026-07-24",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.098615,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-31",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
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        "typical_volume": 5744.1,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 30.0,
        "trend": 213.909285,
        "fair_value": 137.819253,
        "relative_strength": 10.309949,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.648933,
        "energy": 67.590198,
        "activity_lines": [
          229.160004,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 229.160004,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 30.0,
        "trend": 214.606022,
        "fair_value": 138.846989,
        "relative_strength": 10.509041,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.263334,
        "energy": 66.996393,
        "activity_lines": [
          229.160004,
          228.786004,
          222.67933,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 229.160004,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 30.0,
        "trend": 215.302759,
        "fair_value": 139.874725,
        "relative_strength": 9.414419,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.341731,
        "energy": 64.740112,
        "activity_lines": [
          229.160004,
          229.160004,
          223.763133,
          219.805333
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 229.160004,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 30.0,
        "trend": 215.999495,
        "fair_value": 140.908613,
        "relative_strength": 9.189338,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.143625,
        "energy": 64.258956,
        "activity_lines": [
          229.160004,
          229.160004,
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}